
Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential
核心摘要
根據「Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Tigres UANL 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Club América 以 4,900% 位居第二,CF Monterrey 以 4,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Tigres UANL (5,000%):Tigres UANL 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Club América (4,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,Club América 保持著 4,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,900¢。
- CF Monterrey (4,900%):以 4,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 CF Monterrey 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 UNAM Pumas (4,900%)、Puebla (4,900%),以及 Atlético San Luis (4,800%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cruz Azul 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Club América | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 3 | CF Monterrey | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 5 | Puebla | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 6 | Atlético San Luis | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 8 | Toluca | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Pachuca | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 10 | Atlas | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 12 | FC Juárez | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 13 | Other | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 14 | Necaxa | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 16 | León | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 17 | Querétaro | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 18 | Tijuana | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 19 | Guadalajara (Chivas) | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to the team that finishes the regular season 2026-27 Liga MX Apertura and Clausura competitions with the best cumulative goal differential.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the team that scored the most total goals across the Apertura and Clausura competitions. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the team that is listed first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026-27 Liga MX season is cancelled, postponed after June 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Liga MX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「Liga MX: 2026-27 Largest Goal Differential」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Tigres UANL 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Club América(4,900%),以及 CF Monterrey(4,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
