Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

$252.8K Vol
2026年7月30日
Active
機率趨勢
TDK 53.5%
Nemiga 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,005% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $252.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) (9,995%):Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $7.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 9,005% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,005¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (1,000%)、Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5) (1,000%),以及 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5) (1,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)9995.0%$7.1K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs Nemiga (+6.5)85.0%$10285¢15¢
9Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nemiga (-3.5) vs TDK (+3.5)50.0%$10050¢50¢
10Map 1 Winner5.0%$42.9K95¢
11Map 2 Winner5.0%$71.5K95¢
12Match Winner5.0%$179.0K95¢
13O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$13.4K95¢
14Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)5.0%$2.1K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Nemiga and TDK in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against TDK.

This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against Nemiga.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:29 AM
    BUBubliik
    $1.97

    Bought 4.282607 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    YUyuityut6756
    $2.76

    Bought 6 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    D7D7EAd77638f816DdE8A50eb38F
    $2.30

    Bought 5 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:29 AM
    HEheadach3
    $37.95

    Bought 69 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:29 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $11.71

    Bought 21.290908 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:29 AM
    0X0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7
    $998.12

    Bought 2169.82 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x59eB00x59eB0
    $17.04

    Bought 37.043477 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $3.52

    Bought 6.4 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x62791013f304400ffD99c1F31E423dB9b5e62627-1781693296363
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 TDK for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.55

  • 08:28 AM
    COConsistent-Loser
    $300.00

    Bought 652.173912 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0xblueberry
    $28.75

    Bought 62.49 Nemiga for Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

291
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$78.58
Volume
$38,568.25
Positions
NemigaTDKNemiga
ZV2
zvon3
Event PnL
+$15.30
Volume
$30,551.99
Positions
TDK
SK3
skyman44
Event PnL
+$134.92
Volume
$29,999.98
Positions
TDK
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
-$7,796.79
Volume
$24,340.15
Positions
TDKNemigaOver+3
SE5
sentrio
Event PnL
+$104.16
Volume
$10,559.18
Positions
NemigaTDKNemiga+1
BE6
BeraEnjoyer
Event PnL
-$4,105.00
Volume
$10,317.27
Positions
NemigaNemiga
DO7
Donkoo
Event PnL
-$321.82
Volume
$9,009.31
Positions
TDKNemigaUnder+3
AB8
Absing
Event PnL
+$1,907.52
Volume
$8,121.66
Positions
UnderTDKTDK+3

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,005%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $252.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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