Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

$8.6K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
機率趨勢
TheMongolz 52.5%
magic 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 4,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $8.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) (5,000%):Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Match Winner (4,750%):以 4,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Match Winner4750.0%$8.6K4750¢-4650¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between magic and TheMongolz in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against TheMongolz.

This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against magic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:05 AM
    ONOniec
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.53

  • 08:00 AM
    COcow1
    $2.40

    Bought 5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.48

  • 08:00 AM
    GAgarireo756
    $117.66

    Bought 222 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.53

  • 07:09 AM
    $0.10

    Bought 0.21 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.47

  • 06:47 AM
    BLblub69
    $9.08

    Bought 16.814813 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.54

  • 06:01 AM
    0X0x4857Fc6a088f10cFD438939260b2Ffa75164600e-1773454912156
    $14.00

    Bought 29.787233 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.47

  • 04:14 AM
    KJkjss
    $3.00

    Bought 5.35714 TheMongolz for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.56

  • 03:00 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46

  • 02:45 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46

  • 02:30 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46

  • 02:00 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46

  • 01:45 AM
    $3.45

    Bought 7.5 magic for Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.46

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

VI1
vibing123
Event PnL
+$19.78
Volume
$3,956.43
Positions
magic
ST2
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$1.12
Volume
$1,999.98
Positions
magic
OW3
owensleah
Event PnL
-$7.92
Volume
$1,583.64
Positions
TheMongolz
CA4
carmelasoprano1
Event PnL
-$5.40
Volume
$1,080.00
Positions
TheMongolz
AS5
astapzippo
Event PnL
-$0.22
Volume
$843.00
Positions
TheMongolz
BA6
baiyutang
Event PnL
-$4.32
Volume
$824.11
Positions
TheMongolz
SP7
sportteryqq
Event PnL
-$3.26
Volume
$652.83
Positions
TheMongolz
FA8
FaustMendez
Event PnL
-$2.67
Volume
$533.00
Positions
TheMongolz

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(5,000%),以及 Match Winner(4,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $8.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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