Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

$231.1K Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
機率趨勢
BESTIA 100.0%
Fluxo W7M 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,005% 位居第二,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $231.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) (9,995%):Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $1.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持著 9,005% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,005¢。
  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (9,000%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%),以及 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5) (1,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)9995.0%$1.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%$209005¢-8905¢
3Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)9000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)1000.0%$101000¢-900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51000.0%$101000¢-900¢
8Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)1000.0%$101000¢-900¢
9Map 2 Winner5.0%$21.6K95¢
10Match Winner5.0%$161.4K95¢
11O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$94795¢
12Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)5.0%$4095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Fluxo W7M and BESTIA in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against BESTIA.

This market will resolve to "BESTIA" if BESTIA win the match against Fluxo W7M.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:37 PM
    0B0bhu5j0q4cj8
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:37 PM
    PRprync1
    $75.00

    Bought 150 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:36 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 BESTIA for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.51

  • 08:36 PM
    MOmousematic
    $93.20

    Bought 186.4 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:36 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921567 BESTIA for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.51

  • 08:36 PM
    KOKomb
    $5.85

    Bought 11.7 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:36 PM
    KAKatetsulmao
    $10.00

    Bought 20.408162 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:35 PM
    LIliangbanxianca6f
    $6.40

    Bought 13.061223 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:34 PM
    DEDepthCharge
    $15.00

    Bought 30 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:33 PM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 BESTIA for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.52

  • 08:33 PM
    JTJTArb
    $48.86

    Sold 97.71 BESTIA for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.5

  • 08:33 PM
    JTJTArb
    $49.83

    Bought 97.715575 BESTIA for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

LL1
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$196.00
Volume
$39,999.83
Positions
BESTIA
SK2
skyman44
Event PnL
-$319.55
Volume
$39,440.97
Positions
Fluxo W7M
293
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
+$98.90
Volume
$32,028.45
Positions
BESTIABESTIA
ST4
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$10,987.50
Volume
$21,479.07
Positions
Fluxo W7M
AT5
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$81.61
Volume
$16,321.10
Positions
Fluxo W7M
SE6
sentrio
Event PnL
+$8.24
Volume
$12,741.56
Positions
BESTIA
RN7
RN1
Event PnL
-$247.99
Volume
$10,952.18
Positions
BESTIAFluxo W7MUnder+1
LM8
lma0o0o0o
Event PnL
-$524.77
Volume
$8,036.82
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7M

常見問題

目前市場對「Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,005%),以及 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $231.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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