
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
核心摘要
根據「Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+6.5) 以 9,000% 位居第二,Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) 以 6,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $62.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) (9,000%):Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+6.5) (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+6.5) 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) (6,950%):以 6,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%),以及 Map 2 Winner (3,250%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 2.5 Games 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+6.5) | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 6950.0% | $1.1K | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Map 2 Winner | 3250.0% | $2.6K | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3050.0% | $10 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 8 | Match Winner | 1650.0% | $100.0K | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 9 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+9.5) | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Map 1 Winner | 5.0% | $5.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 14 | Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 5.0% | $2.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between CYBERSHOKE Esports and Virtus.pro in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against Virtus.pro.
This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 29, 2026
- 08:33 AMHEheadach3$32.90
Bought 70 CYBERSHOKE Esports for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.47
- 08:30 AM——$21.20
Bought 40 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.53
- 08:28 AM——$55.54
Bought 102.85185 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:28 AMKAkakapipi2026$2.71
Bought 5.018517 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:27 AMCACapeCalibratedPM$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:27 AM——$1.62
Bought 3 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:27 AM——$1.62
Bought 3 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:27 AM0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:27 AM——$153.83
Bought 284.870369 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:15 AMHIHimemiya$10.65
Bought 19.72 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.54
- 08:06 AMHIHimemiya$10.82
Bought 20.8 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.52
- 07:45 AM——$35.00
Bought 66.037734 Virtus.pro for Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs at 0.53
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+3.5) 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+6.5)(9,000%),以及 Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)(6,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $62.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
