
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda
核心摘要
根據「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5 以 6,250% 位居第二,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 以 6,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $122.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,250%):Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $17 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5 (6,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5 保持著 6,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,250¢。
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 (6,050%):以 6,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,500%)、Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,400%),以及 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,400%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 22.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 8250.0% | $17 | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 2 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5 | 6250.0% | $74 | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 3 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 4 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 5 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5400.0% | $5 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 7 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 22.5 | 5350.0% | $166 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 23.5 | 4700.0% | $1.1K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 Winner | 4450.0% | $700 | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 11 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 Winner | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 12 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4150.0% | $334 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 13 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda | 4050.0% | $156.0K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3700.0% | $866 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 15 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2350.0% | $866 | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Zachary Svajda in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Zachary Svajda.
This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Aleksandar Vukic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 27, 2026
- 08:03 PM——$2.97
Bought 7.243901 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 08:02 PMMSmscjava$3.00
Bought 5 Zachary Svajda for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.6
- 07:57 PM——$9.90
Bought 24.14634 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 07:57 PM——$2.97
Bought 7.243901 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 07:57 PM——$2.97
Bought 7.243901 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 07:56 PMAHAHPOLY$53.26
Bought 88.76 Zachary Svajda for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.6
- 07:54 PM8M8mavrme$274.34
Bought 669.12195 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 07:54 PM8M8mavrme$800.00
Bought 1333.333332 Zachary Svajda for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.6
- 07:42 PMMSmscjava$5.00
Bought 8.333332 Zachary Svajda for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.6
- 07:41 PMMSmscjava$1.78
Sold 4.44 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.4
- 07:41 PMROrobinvanpersie$820.00
Bought 2000 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
- 07:37 PMVVVViviann$90.00
Bought 219.512194 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda at 0.41
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 21.5(6,250%),以及 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5(6,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $122.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
