Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti

$111.3K Vol
2026年8月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Lorenzo Musetti 68.5%
Aleksandar Vukic 31.5%

核心摘要

根據「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 以 5,550% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $111.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%):Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,550¢。
  • Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.57950.0%7950¢-7850¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.55550.0%$1195550¢-5450¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$295000¢-4900¢
6Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.54900.0%$94900¢-4800¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.54500.0%$6254500¢-4400¢
10Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.54200.0%$174200¢-4100¢
11Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.53900.0%$2083900¢-3800¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner3850.0%$1643850¢-3750¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti3150.0%$124.0K3150¢-3050¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.53000.0%$53000¢-2900¢
16Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.51700.0%$6251700¢-1600¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Lorenzo Musetti.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Aleksandar Vukic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 29, 2026

  • 08:05 AM
    JTJT13
    $110.00

    Bought 154.929575 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:57 AM
    MIMikeHorak
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:33 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $22.05

    Bought 31.05 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 07:08 AM
    $4.38

    Bought 6.169013 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:46 AM
    HLhldamico
    $5.46

    Bought 7.690137 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:38 AM
    0X0x99873C5Baaba79EAE554534b3C8FD2ba14991369-1772781021315
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:35 AM
    NEnemed
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:35 AM
    $4.15

    Bought 5 Musetti for Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5) at 0.83

  • 06:30 AM
    LOlorekeeper51799
    $76.01

    Bought 107.056337 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:18 AM
    0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106
    $3.46

    Bought 4.873237 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71

  • 06:13 AM
    SUsuntori
    $18.40

    Sold 63.46 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.29

  • 06:09 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $20.10

    Bought 67 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.3

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

GO1
Gourmet1
Event PnL
+$67.24
Volume
$45,571.91
Positions
Aleksandar Vukic
402
4014
Event PnL
+$133.32
Volume
$8,887.99
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$40.95
Volume
$8,191.00
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
ML4
mlin1010
Event PnL
+$29.89
Volume
$6,999.95
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$18.48
Volume
$6,706.72
Positions
Lorenzo MusettiUnder 2.5
BA6
barocco
Event PnL
-$63.78
Volume
$4,252.10
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
077
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$117.55
Volume
$4,176.22
Positions
Aleksandar VukicMusetti
BA8
BaseballBill
Event PnL
+$20.74
Volume
$4,148.83
Positions
Aleksandar Vukic

常見問題

目前市場對「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5(5,550%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $111.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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