Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils

$638.9K Vol
2026年8月28日
Active
機率趨勢
Arthur Fils 99.8%
Thiago Agustin Tirante 0.3%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 以壓倒性的 9,695% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $638.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,695%):Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,695¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $63.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)、Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.5 (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.59695.0%$63.8K9695¢-9595¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$5105000¢-4900¢
3Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.55000.0%$2645000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.54600.0%$2374600¢-4500¢
8Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.52450.0%$1.3K2450¢-2350¢
9Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.5205.0%$3.2K205¢-105¢
10Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 Winner115.0%$1.5K115¢-15¢
11Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils60.0%$567.0K60¢40¢
12Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%$63.8K50¢50¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Arthur Fils in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Arthur Fils.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:21 PM
    UNunknownaura
    $4.00

    Bought 16 Thiago Agustin Tirante for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.25

  • 09:21 PM
    XEXerebusX
    $5.00

    Bought 6.578945 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:20 PM
    NEneedfunds4bevs
    $1.25

    Bought 5 Thiago Agustin Tirante for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.25

  • 09:20 PM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 12.526312 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:20 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    UNunknownaura
    $479.38

    Bought 1917.52 Thiago Agustin Tirante for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.25

  • 09:19 PM
    $11.50

    Bought 15.131575 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    0X0x8f452eA0d27202eF5e0Be7C09668C474c4d42d02-1786956923206
    $5.00

    Bought 6.578945 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    $15.74

    Bought 20.710525 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    AAaandriy
    $4.56

    Bought 6 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $16,785.89

    Bought 22381.19 Arthur Fils for Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils at 0.75

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
-$199.96
Volume
$40,000.00
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$118.25
Volume
$32,003.90
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante
SB3
sbimbg
Event PnL
-$149.97
Volume
$29,999.98
Positions
Arthur Fils
SP4
spiced
Event PnL
+$139.12
Volume
$27,824.32
Positions
Arthur Fils
5F5
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
-$134.29
Volume
$26,857.52
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante
2C6
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$111.93
Volume
$22,381.19
Positions
Arthur Fils
FR7
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
+$111.11
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Arthur Fils
GY8
gysh.qs
Event PnL
-$106.97
Volume
$21,393.20
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 9,695% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $638.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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