Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe

$71.6K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
機率趨勢
Learner Tien 53.5%
Frances Tiafoe 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 以 6,000% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 5,800% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $71.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,000%):Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $90 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 (6,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 保持著 6,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,000¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,800%):以 5,800% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 (5,600%)、Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe (5,350%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.58000.0%$908000¢-7900¢
2Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.56000.0%$436000¢-5900¢
3Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.55800.0%5800¢-5700¢
4Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.55600.0%$975600¢-5500¢
5Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe5350.0%$71.1K5350¢-5250¢
6Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner5250.0%$2825250¢-5150¢
7Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.54950.0%$254950¢-4850¢
13Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.54450.0%$1354450¢-4350¢
14Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
15Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.53050.0%$1123050¢-2950¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Frances Tiafoe.

This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Learner Tien.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 18, 2026

  • 09:10 PM
    $25.00

    Bought 53.191488 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 09:04 PM
    RPrplt-fb
    $27.09

    Bought 50.166665 Learner Tien for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.54

  • 08:55 PM
    XCxccccc
    $6.00

    Bought 11.11111 Learner Tien for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.54

  • 08:52 PM
    FLFlipso007
    $30.00

    Bought 63.829786 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 08:50 PM
    0X0x13b261d1d3783C58f4CDf356052785D0297e5486-1778345245512
    $12.00

    Bought 22.222221 Learner Tien for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.54

  • 08:34 PM
    QUquavoo
    $39.48

    Bought 84 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 08:26 PM
    QUquavoo
    $7.52

    Bought 16 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 08:12 PM
    HEhekutor
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185184 Learner Tien for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.54

  • 08:09 PM
    BAbarocco
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1851.85185 Learner Tien for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.54

  • 08:05 PM
    QUquavoo
    $4.70

    Bought 10 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 08:05 PM
    QUquavoo
    $19.27

    Bought 41 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

  • 08:05 PM
    QUquavoo
    $1.88

    Bought 4 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.47

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

OU1
oudine2
Event PnL
+$55.65
Volume
$11,130.38
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
DA2
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Learner Tien
JT3
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$44.99
Volume
$8,999.99
Positions
Learner Tien
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
-$18.39
Volume
$8,190.00
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
CO5
comon119
Event PnL
-$37.50
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Learner Tien
BL6
blackworgen
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Learner Tien
RO7
roldy
Event PnL
+$27.83
Volume
$5,558.22
Positions
Learner Tien
RN8
RN1
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$4,999.96
Positions
Frances Tiafoe

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5(6,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5(5,800%)。該市場總成交量已達 $71.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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