Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

$55.9K Vol
2026年8月27日
Active
機率趨勢
Felix Auger-Aliassime 65.5%
Frances Tiafoe 34.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,600% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 6,100% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 以 6,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%):Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,600¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,100%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持著 6,100% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,100¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 (6,000%):以 6,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 (5,500%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
3Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.56000.0%$206000¢-5900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.55500.0%$3405500¢-5400¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.54600.0%$54600¢-4500¢
10Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.54450.0%$3.9K4450¢-4350¢
11Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
12Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.53900.0%$503900¢-3800¢
13Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
14Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.53850.0%$133850¢-3750¢
15Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime3450.0%$51.5K3450¢-3350¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 8:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Frances Tiafoe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
-$117.27
Volume
$28,860.22
Positions
Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime
KI2
kingflop
Event PnL
+$86.91
Volume
$17,378.30
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
BA3
BaseballBill
Event PnL
+$33.16
Volume
$8,887.72
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
-$34.09
Volume
$6,818.81
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
NJ5
njcksn
Event PnL
+$29.41
Volume
$5,882.98
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
CO6
comon119
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Felix Auger-Aliassime
K57
k56
Event PnL
+$22.06
Volume
$4,411.76
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
JT8
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$17.50
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Frances Tiafoe

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,600% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5(6,100%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5(6,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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