Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe

$47K Vol
2026年8月23日
Active
機率趨勢
Frances Tiafoe 60.5%
Lorenzo Sonego 39.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 8,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 以 6,250% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 6,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $47K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,500%):Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 (6,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 保持著 6,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,250¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,050%):以 6,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 (5,650%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.58500.0%8500¢-8400¢
2Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.56250.0%$2316250¢-6150¢
3Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
4Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.55650.0%$2955650¢-5550¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
10Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.54350.0%$1874350¢-4250¢
11Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
12Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
13Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe3950.0%$46.3K3950¢-3850¢
14Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.53800.0%$53800¢-3700¢
15Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
16Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.53350.0%$53350¢-3250¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Frances Tiafoe.

This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:42 AM
    YOyohan75
    $46.20

    Sold 77 Over for Sonego vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.6

  • 08:41 AM
    YOyohan75
    $70.49

    Sold 133 Over for Sonego vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.53

  • 08:40 AM
    YOyohan75
    $50.91

    Bought 77.14 Over for Sonego vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.66

  • 08:40 AM
    0X0x8d10b39465225d7a881b56b4Af8354997f0C940A-1767024582634
    $3.77

    Bought 8.377776 Under for Sonego vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.45

  • 08:40 AM
    YOyohan75
    $75.81

    Bought 133 Over for Sonego vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.57

  • 08:37 AM
    ELeliteelite
    $10.00

    Bought 25 Lorenzo Sonego for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.4

  • 08:35 AM
    SHshadowMacMini2
    $2.00

    Bought 3.278687 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.61

  • 08:35 AM
    XMxmars99
    $3.00

    Bought 4.91803 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.61

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xd3600f212060543436E4f4B1283Aa6F8981a2EAB-1779187666633
    $70.00

    Bought 114.754097 Frances Tiafoe for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.61

  • 08:05 AM
    $7.18

    Sold 18.42 Lorenzo Sonego for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.39

  • 07:59 AM
    ADadfjo
    $400.00

    Bought 1000 Lorenzo Sonego for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.4

  • 07:57 AM
    JUJuttBro
    $3.20

    Bought 8 Lorenzo Sonego for Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe at 0.4

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

DV1
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$43.69
Volume
$8,738.25
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
DX2
dxe
Event PnL
-$39.98
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Lorenzo Sonego
F33
0xf3a1…bf4b
Event PnL
-$16.48
Volume
$6,454.01
Positions
Lorenzo Sonego
A04
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$117.03
Volume
$4,925.29
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
JA5
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$16.67
Volume
$3,333.00
Positions
Frances Tiafoe
K56
k56
Event PnL
+$13.62
Volume
$3,072.45
Positions
Lorenzo Sonego
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$15.95
Volume
$3,063.30
Positions
Frances TiafoeUnder 2.5
KN8
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$2,186.82
Positions
Frances Tiafoe

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5(6,250%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5(6,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $47K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始