Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia

$79K Vol
2026年8月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Nicolas Mejia 76.5%
Henrique Rocha 23.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $79K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.5 (5,650%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.55650.0%$25650¢-5550¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$325000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
14Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia2450.0%$81.4K2450¢-2350¢
15Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner50.0%$1.3K50¢50¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Nicolas Mejia in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Nicolas Mejia.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Henrique Rocha.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$571.48
Volume
$14,284.72
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
HA2
halomango
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$133.93
Volume
$8,928.56
Positions
Henrique Rocha
BA4
BaseballBill
Event PnL
-$172.31
Volume
$8,616.35
Positions
Henrique Rocha
DA5
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
+$255.33
Volume
$6,382.98
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$235.51
Volume
$5,887.68
Positions
Henrique Rocha
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$119.10
Volume
$4,764.38
Positions
Henrique Rocha
MA8
marketmesh
Event PnL
+$69.79
Volume
$4,548.98
Positions
Nicolas Mejia

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5(9,995%),以及 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $79K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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