
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic
核心摘要
根據「US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 以 8,350% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $843.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,000%):US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 (8,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 保持著 8,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,350¢。
- US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,050%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5 | 8350.0% | $60 | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $1.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | $3.9K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | $838 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $3.6K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | $100 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | $63 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner | 4550.0% | $1.3K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | 4450.0% | $1.1M | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-6.5 | 2250.0% | $3.9K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Novak Djokovic in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Novak Djokovic.
This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Mariano Navone.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 30, 2026
- 09:05 PMLIlimitless00$254.10
Bought 605 Over for Navone vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5 at 0.42
- 09:02 PM0X0xAba48855243D9998CE5781C11e21160DafFE3fA6-1783087448963$59.92
Bought 70.494113 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 09:02 PMBRBrimoz$4,761.83
Bought 29761.445293 Mariano Navone for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.16
- 08:58 PMFOfox10$1.62
Bought 1.90588 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 08:56 PMHEhekutor$10.00
Bought 62.5 Mariano Navone for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.16
- 08:55 PM00000brokie000$14.50
Bought 25 Under for Navone vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5 at 0.58
- 08:54 PMUSUser3294783278$6.00
Bought 7.05882 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 08:53 PMFEfenil51$157.73
Bought 185.57 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 08:49 PM0X0x008e2b5998D5D5821A29968988C87Bd23aEAbd3E-1772472162364$1.00
Bought 1.176466 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 08:48 PM0X0x7221E477794f375855BBF983E3e7b5717833F8aC-1782557435480$109.42
Bought 237.88 Navone for Game Spread: Djokovic (-6.5) vs Navone (+6.5) at 0.46
- 08:35 PM——$48.85
Bought 57.470586 Novak Djokovic for US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic at 0.85
- 08:35 PMLIlimitless00$24.40
Bought 59.5 Over for Navone vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5 at 0.41
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5(8,350%),以及 US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $843.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
