
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti
核心摘要
根據「Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,900% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti 以 6,450% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner 以 6,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $45.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,900%):Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,900¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti (6,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti 保持著 6,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,450¢。
- Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner (6,100%):以 6,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner (6,050%)、Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 21.5 (5,850%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,250%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti | 6450.0% | $44.1K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner | 6050.0% | $1.6K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 21.5 | 5850.0% | $27 | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 7 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | $87 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 23.5 | 4550.0% | $4 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 13 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4150.0% | $65 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 14 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4150.0% | $17 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 15 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 16 | Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1900.0% | $17 | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Marco Trungelliti in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Marco Trungelliti.
This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Hamad Medjedovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 14, 2026
- 08:53 AMSOsomeweirdguesser$50.00
Bought 73.529409 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:50 AMDUdumdum-bets$3.88
Bought 11.42 Marco Trungelliti for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.34
- 08:46 AMKAkakapipi2026$5.00
Bought 7.35294 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:46 AM——$7.12
Bought 10.470587 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:46 AM——$3.45
Bought 5.073528 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:46 AMFOFollower2$2.02
Bought 2.970587 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:46 AMFOFollower2$4.17
Bought 6.13235 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.68
- 08:46 AM——$556.90
Bought 831.19 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67
- 08:46 AM——$270.07
Bought 403.089551 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67
- 08:24 AMKRkrypttest$2.50
Bought 3.731342 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67
- 08:07 AM0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906$4.00
Bought 5.970148 Hamad Medjedovic for Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.67
- 08:00 AMMAmarigliano$4.96
Bought 8.267702 Under 2.5 for Hamad Medjedovic vs. Marco Trungelliti: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.6
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,900% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti(6,450%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner(6,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $45.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
