Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

$55.3K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
機率趨勢
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 95.5%
Mark Lajal 4.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.55000.0%$3055000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
13Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5700.0%$8700¢-600¢
14Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo350.0%$186.7K350¢-250¢
15Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner5.0%$7.9K95¢
16Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mark Lajal' if Mark Lajal advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Mark Lajal.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 14, 2026

  • 08:56 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $20.40

    Bought 40 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.51

  • 08:53 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:53 AM
    $4.50

    Bought 9 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:47 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $3.65

    Bought 5 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:46 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.65

    Bought 5 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:46 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 Lajal for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Lajal (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 08:43 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:43 AM
    $22.47

    Bought 44.94 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:28 AM
    0X0x6e645b730cc75b6C2f0DB73f12Aa0d16f6A2c072-1766177659045
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:25 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:25 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

  • 08:24 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Mark Lajal for Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 0.5

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

DO1
DonaldinhoTrumpito
Event PnL
+$2.86
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
8A2
0x8a3a…5025
Event PnL
+$120.01
Volume
$24,000.00
Positions
Mark Lajal
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$283.91
Volume
$18,927.50
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
SB4
sbimbg
Event PnL
-$225.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Mark Lajal
2C5
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$54.51
Volume
$10,904.21
Positions
Mark Lajal
CO6
comon119
Event PnL
+$37.51
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$18.38
Volume
$3,675.18
Positions
Mark Lajal
948
0x94D4…2275
Event PnL
-$7.15
Volume
$2,953.53
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5(9,995%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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