
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller
核心摘要
根據「Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $387.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller (9,995%):Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $451.2K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%)、Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Completed Match (9,950%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller | 9995.0% | $451.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 9995.0% | $396 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 9995.0% | $17 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $80 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $80 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Marvin Moeller in the Hamburg, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Marvin Moeller.
This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Jan Kumstat.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 16, 2026
- 08:50 AMBEBerraballs$1.18
Bought 1.638885 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:45 AMNONotelmir$1.11
Bought 1.541664 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:44 AM0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708$5.00
Bought 8.064515 Moeller for Set Handicap: Kumstat (-1.5) vs Moeller (+1.5) at 0.62
- 08:41 AMBObogabimi$1.02
Bought 1.416664 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:38 AMTAtaraefaru$1.00
Bought 1.388885 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:29 AMHIhivigoegi$1.31
Bought 1.819177 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:29 AMTItitops$40.00
Bought 100 Marvin Moeller for Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller at 0.4
- 08:26 AMIZIzy-al-habit$150.00
Bought 375 Marvin Moeller for Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller at 0.4
- 08:20 AMGOGoticaria3$1.00
Bought 1.388885 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:16 AMBEbenkobelko$1.02
Bought 1.416664 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 08:11 AMBAbackaboi7$1.00
Bought 1.388885 Over for Kumstat vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72
- 07:01 AMNEneutralwave23$62.36
Bought 102.229507 Jan Kumstat for Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller at 0.61
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常見問題
目前市場對「Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,995%),以及 Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller Match O/U 21.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $387.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
