National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

$71.9K Vol
2026年8月18日
Active
機率趨勢
Rafael Jodar 54.5%
Arthur Fils 45.5%

核心摘要

根據「National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 以 5,750% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils 以 5,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $71.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,450%):National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $153 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 (5,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,750¢。
  • National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils (5,450%):以 5,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,350%)、National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner (5,300%),以及 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 Winner (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.57450.0%$1537450¢-7350¢
2National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.55750.0%$1.3K5750¢-5650¢
3National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils5450.0%$68.4K5450¢-5350¢
4National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
5National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner5300.0%$1.9K5300¢-5200¢
6National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 Winner5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.54950.0%$1.5K4950¢-4850¢
12National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
13National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.54000.0%$1244000¢-3900¢
14National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%$903300¢-3200¢
15National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 10.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
16National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.52850.0%$902850¢-2750¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Arthur Fils.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:32 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Jodar vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.5

  • 08:30 AM
    4M4manyothers
    $100.00

    Bought 185.185184 Rafael Jodar for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.54

  • 08:22 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $73.00

    Bought 146 Over for Jodar vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.5

  • 08:21 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $19.00

    Bought 38 Over for Jodar vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.5

  • 08:19 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 20.255318 Arthur Fils for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.47

  • 08:12 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Rafael Jodar for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.54

  • 08:03 AM
    4M4manyothers
    $500.00

    Bought 925.925923 Rafael Jodar for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.54

  • 07:57 AM
    ZEZelenskys-suit
    $17.86

    Bought 38 Arthur Fils for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.47

  • 07:57 AM
    AEaeoh988w84oe
    $2.00

    Bought 4.255318 Arthur Fils for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.47

  • 07:57 AM
    KLkl7j44ddsnv
    $42.90

    Bought 79.444443 Rafael Jodar for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.54

  • 07:56 AM
    8M8mavrme
    $300.00

    Bought 555.555554 Rafael Jodar for National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils at 0.54

  • 07:56 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $28.00

    Bought 56 Over for Jodar vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.5

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

RI1
riverskew
Event PnL
+$45.72
Volume
$9,144.71
Positions
Rafael Jodar
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$11.56
Volume
$7,916.68
Positions
Rafael JodarJodar
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.68
Volume
$7,569.60
Positions
Arthur FilsFilsUnder 2.5+1
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$29.28
Volume
$5,856.52
Positions
Arthur Fils
DE5
deepakrego
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$3,999.99
Positions
Rafael Jodar
MA6
Marcoli
Event PnL
-$20.94
Volume
$3,842.83
Positions
Rafael Jodar
SH7
shaw
Event PnL
+$16.30
Volume
$3,260.00
Positions
Arthur Fils
708
0x7091…9816
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$2,999.98
Positions
Arthur Fils

常見問題

目前市場對「National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5(5,750%),以及 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils(5,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $71.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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