
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain
核心摘要
根據「Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $56.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%)、Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain (5%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $15 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain | 5.0% | $119.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 7 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $7 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 8 | Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $7 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Lucas Poullain.
This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Michael Geerts.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 20, 2026
- 09:06 AMSHshadowMacMini2$2.00
Bought 4.25 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47
- 09:01 AMXMxmars99$3.00
Bought 6.382977 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47
- 08:35 AM0X0x64EC879f99b7C903fEA07341Dddc4DbD038B931D-1777110361694$40.00
Bought 74.074073 Lucas Poullain for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.54
- 08:21 AMDADanshan11$11.59
Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7
- 08:19 AMYOyotweee$7.34
Bought 10.05 Over for Geerts vs. Poullain: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.73
- 08:16 AMMIMikiMuster$3.55
Bought 5 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71
- 08:16 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 1.408448 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71
- 08:13 AMDADanshan11$11.59
Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7
- 08:11 AMHEhephaistus$2.50
Bought 3.521124 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71
- 08:11 AMDADanshan11$5.17
Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7
- 08:11 AMDADanshan11$5.17
Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7
- 07:55 AMMAmallytbi$1.08
Bought 1.58797 Geerts for Set Handicap: Poullain (-1.5) vs Geerts (+1.5) at 0.68
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,995%),以及 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $56.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
