
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken
核心摘要
根據「US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken 以壓倒性的 7,850% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 7,000% 位居第二,US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner 以 5,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $231.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken (7,850%):US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,850¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $229.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Completed Match (7,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 7,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,000¢。
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner (5,550%):以 5,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Game Spread +/-0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken | 7850.0% | $229.0K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 7000.0% | $550 | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner | 5550.0% | $152 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $27 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Game Spread +/-0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $719 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | $194 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | $197 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Harry Wendelken in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Harry Wendelken.
This market will resolve to 'Harry Wendelken' if Harry Wendelken advances against Vilius Gaubas.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 27, 2026
- 09:14 AMPEperpcode0072nell$56.00
Bought 100 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 09:00 AMNEneutralwave23$8.31
Bought 18.466665 Harry Wendelken for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.45
- 08:52 AMTRtransl1t$1.00
Bought 1.785713 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:50 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.785713 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:43 AMRARaiJhin$4.31
Bought 9.577776 Harry Wendelken for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.45
- 08:37 AMMUMutedCarp8305$5.00
Bought 8.92 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:37 AM——$1.44
Bought 2.571427 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:37 AM——$93.20
Bought 166.42857 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:05 AMELeliteelite$10.00
Bought 17.85714 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
- 08:03 AMMAmarigliano$20.00
Bought 43.478259 Harry Wendelken for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.46
- 08:02 AMOLOlivier987$19.65
Bought 42.707607 Harry Wendelken for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.46
- 07:55 AMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 35.714284 Vilius Gaubas for US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken at 0.56
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken 以 7,850% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(7,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Harry Wendelken Set 2 Winner(5,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $231.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
