Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

$68K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
機率趨勢
Taylor Fritz 79.5%
Daniel Merida Aguilar 20.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar 以壓倒性的 7,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,950% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner 以 7,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $68K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (7,950%):Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $58.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持著 7,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,950¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner (7,250%):以 7,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 (6,050%)、Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,550%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 (5,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar7950.0%$58.6K7950¢-7850¢
2Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.57950.0%$1437950¢-7850¢
3Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner7250.0%$2.1K7250¢-7150¢
4Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.56050.0%$556050¢-5950¢
5Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.55550.0%$5.3K5550¢-5450¢
6Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.55400.0%$1.2K5400¢-5300¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.54600.0%$254600¢-4500¢
13Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
14Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%$5273550¢-3450¢
15Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.53050.0%$203050¢-2950¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Taylor Fritz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 18, 2026

  • 08:57 AM
    INintelideas
    $50.05

    Bought 139.027776 Over 2.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.36

  • 08:27 AM
    ASASMDIAIDSA
    $5.50

    Bought 6.962023 Taylor Fritz for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.79

  • 08:26 AM
    RARainRain12
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727271 Fritz for Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:19 AM
    4M4manyothers
    $200.00

    Bought 909.090908 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.22

  • 08:08 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 6.329109 Taylor Fritz for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.79

  • 08:06 AM
    NNNNNHK
    $50.00

    Bought 63.291138 Taylor Fritz for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.79

  • 07:56 AM
    RIriitmo
    $11.22

    Bought 51 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.22

  • 07:44 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $6.16

    Bought 8 Over for Fritz vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.77

  • 07:37 AM
    BRBrahman19
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 Over for Fritz vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.55

  • 07:33 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $6.16

    Bought 8 Over for Fritz vs. Aguilar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.77

  • 07:21 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265819 Taylor Fritz for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.79

  • 07:10 AM
    DAdanielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
    $395.00

    Bought 500 Taylor Fritz for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at 0.79

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

AR1
ArturitoFilito
Event PnL
+$1.94
Volume
$23,617.85
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
KI2
kingflop
Event PnL
+$103.09
Volume
$20,613.41
Positions
Taylor Fritz
003
0000.
Event PnL
-$194.46
Volume
$19,330.65
Positions
Taylor FritzFritz
DD4
0xdd51…4856
Event PnL
-$34.56
Volume
$6,150.87
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$20.64
Volume
$4,127.06
Positions
Taylor Fritz
9F6
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$42.73
Volume
$3,259.76
Positions
Daniel Merida AguilarAguilar
5B7
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$35.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
AguilarDaniel Merida Aguilar
PA8
palmdo
Event PnL
-$12.42
Volume
$2,484.95
Positions
Taylor Fritz

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar 以 7,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5(7,950%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner(7,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $68K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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