
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov
核心摘要
根據「US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov 以壓倒性的 5,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $205.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov (5,500%):US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $197.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov | 5500.0% | $197.9K | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $100 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Jurij Rodionov in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Jurij Rodionov.
This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Jacob Fearnley.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Aug 27, 2026
- 09:06 AMBAbastet9$13.36
Bought 19.08 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 09:03 AM0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708$5.00
Bought 9.259258 Under for Fearnley vs. Rodionov: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.54
- 08:52 AMALAlvurdi$15.00
Bought 21.42857 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 08:39 AM0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848$1.00
Bought 1.42857 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 08:21 AMBAbastet9$66.76
Bought 95.37 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 07:55 AMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 28.571426 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
- 07:33 AMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$3.78
Bought 12.59 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.3
- 07:12 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.388885 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.72
- 07:12 AMNENerwan$95.35
Bought 132.430553 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.72
- 07:12 AM0X0x82af599ae8a62842da38be6e5d4b14cd5882bddb$1.00
Bought 3.225805 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.31
- 06:57 AMBEbetfun...$10.23
Bought 33 Jurij Rodionov for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.31
- 06:43 AM0X0xbfD770B7ff0$12.07
Bought 17.242856 Jacob Fearnley for US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at 0.7
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov 以 5,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov Game Spread +/-3.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $205.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
