US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri

$163.9K Vol
2026年9月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Andrea Guerrieri 77.5%
Aziz Dougaz 22.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $163.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%)、US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
4US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.55000.0%$3845000¢-4900¢
7US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner4100.0%$34100¢-4000¢
9US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 23.52600.0%$192600¢-2500¢
10US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri2250.0%$163.4K2250¢-2150¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Andrea Guerrieri in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Andrea Guerrieri.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Aziz Dougaz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 27, 2026

  • 09:27 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 09:00 AM
    $1.02

    Bought 1.821427 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.56

  • 09:00 AM
    $34.07

    Bought 61.945453 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 09:00 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $14.85

    Bought 27 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 08:41 AM
    $77.45

    Bought 140.81 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 08:41 AM
    $18.74

    Bought 34.072726 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 08:40 AM
    RARaiJhin
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55

  • 08:37 AM
    $24.98

    Bought 46.259258 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54

  • 07:55 AM
    MWmwsking
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276594 Andrea Guerrieri for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.47

  • 07:49 AM
    MUMutedCarp8305
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54

  • 07:49 AM
    $3.40

    Bought 6.296295 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54

  • 07:49 AM
    $6.58

    Bought 12.185184 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CA1
calamansidios
Event PnL
-$285.00
Volume
$19,000.00
Positions
Aziz Dougaz
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$586.51
Volume
$16,851.33
Positions
Aziz Dougaz
CO3
comon119
Event PnL
-$1,110.00
Volume
$14,999.99
Positions
Aziz Dougaz
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$402.80
Volume
$14,264.92
Positions
Aziz Dougaz
2C5
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$0.38
Volume
$11,755.05
Positions
Andrea Guerrieri
AL6
alexdave888
Event PnL
-$164.95
Volume
$10,999.96
Positions
Aziz Dougaz
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$91.70
Volume
$9,760.75
Positions
Andrea Guerrieri
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$375.42
Volume
$7,505.82
Positions
Andrea GuerrieriOver

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $163.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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