National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang

$101K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
機率趨勢
Juncheng Shang 52.5%
Luciano Darderi 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 21.5 以 5,750% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 22.5 以 5,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $101K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%):National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $6 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 21.5 (5,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,750¢。
  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 22.5 (5,150%):以 5,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%)、National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%),以及 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 8.57950.0%$67950¢-7850¢
2National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 21.55750.0%$2975750¢-5650¢
3National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 22.55150.0%$1885150¢-5050¢
4National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang4850.0%$202.6K4850¢-4750¢
10National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 Winner4800.0%$1144800¢-4700¢
11National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 2 Winner4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
12National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 23.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
13National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%$1154100¢-4000¢
14National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set Handicap +/-1.53150.0%$663150¢-3050¢
15National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Juncheng Shang in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Juncheng Shang.

This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BL1
BLAHBLAHBLAH-298
Event PnL
+$10.04
Volume
$35,367.35
Positions
Luciano Darderi
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$137.10
Volume
$27,419.90
Positions
Juncheng Shang
SB3
sbimbg
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$19,999.98
Positions
Juncheng Shang
AV4
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$286.91
Volume
$19,127.12
Positions
Luciano Darderi
FA5
fastball67
Event PnL
-$225.00
Volume
$14,999.91
Positions
Juncheng Shang
PA6
PAROLIBOYS
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$9,999.95
Positions
Juncheng Shang
BI7
bigwhale1337
Event PnL
-$46.70
Volume
$9,339.01
Positions
Juncheng Shang
QU8
quavoo
Event PnL
-$1.65
Volume
$8,041.63
Positions
Luciano Darderi

常見問題

目前市場對「National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 21.5(5,750%),以及 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Match O/U 22.5(5,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $101K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始