US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud

$55.2K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Casper Ruud 61.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39.0%

核心摘要

根據「US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 以壓倒性的 6,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,350% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $55.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 (6,450%):US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持著 6,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,350¢。
  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,100%):以 6,100% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.5 (5,450%)、US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%),以及 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Completed Match 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
2US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
3US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.56100.0%$1456100¢-6000¢
4US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
5US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$1845050¢-4950¢
6US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 38.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-5.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
20US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 Winner4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
21US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner4150.0%$364150¢-4050¢
22US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
23US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud3900.0%$51.0K3900¢-3800¢
24US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
25US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 4.53250.0%$3.8K3250¢-3150¢
26US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-2.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:12 PM
    HEHevWei
    $4.00

    Bought 6.45161 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x8e9c786CCA6677CCe009ad865f8579833CA2efaB-1772993613414
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 1.709676 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    XIxiaolubambi
    $30.00

    Bought 48.387094 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 06:27 PM
    SESecuredFutureKFE
    $32.94

    Bought 54 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:25 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:24 PM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:23 PM
    $1,096.29

    Bought 2884.973683 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.38

  • 06:23 PM
    FOFollower2
    $9.32

    Bought 23.897434 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.39

  • 06:00 PM
    $2.89

    Bought 4.59 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

  • 05:51 PM
    JAJACCKKP
    $13.45

    Sold 21.7 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 05:42 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $3.15

    Bought 5 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

RA1
Rafalcaraz
Event PnL
+$400.95
Volume
$20,440.10
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$5.08
Volume
$13,731.82
Positions
Casper Ruud
453
0x45h0…fef7
Event PnL
+$54.61
Volume
$10,919.31
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$30.49
Volume
$9,025.00
Positions
Casper RuudOver 3.5
075
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$11.41
Volume
$6,546.19
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
696
0x696A…0594
Event PnL
-$282.12
Volume
$5,642.60
Positions
Casper Ruud
NM7
NM-P
Event PnL
-$44.39
Volume
$4,406.07
Positions
Casper Ruud
GA8
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$100.24
Volume
$4,024.32
Positions
Casper Ruud

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 以 6,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,350%),以及 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,100%)。該市場總成交量已達 $55.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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