Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi

$58.9K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
機率趨勢
Rio Noguchi 100.0%
Luis Carlos Alvarez 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Completed Match 以壓倒性的 9,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi 以 5% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $58.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Completed Match (9,000%):Completed Match 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi (5%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi 保持著 5% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
2Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi5.0%$59.0K95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Rio Noguchi in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 6:20PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Rio Noguchi.

This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 18, 2026

  • 09:11 PM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.74

  • 09:11 PM
    $1.18

    Bought 1.616437 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.73

  • 09:11 PM
    QUQuanttennis
    $2.52

    Bought 9 Luis Carlos Alvarez for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.28

  • 09:11 PM
    ZUzusu
    $0.01

    Bought 0.01 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.71

  • 09:11 PM
    SWswisstony
    $6.38

    Bought 8.985913 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.71

  • 09:10 PM
    $1.17

    Bought 1.602737 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.73

  • 09:10 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $0.01

    Bought 0.01 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.69

  • 09:10 PM
    SWswisstony
    $6.89

    Bought 9.985506 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.69

  • 09:01 PM
    $23.28

    Bought 35.82 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65

  • 08:57 PM
    EFEF717
    $12.80

    Bought 35.555554 Luis Carlos Alvarez for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.36

  • 08:56 PM
    CEceeghann
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65

  • 08:11 PM
    MImirnger
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692305 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BI1
bigoon
Event PnL
-$646.83
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Rio Noguchi
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$693.97
Volume
$5,311.76
Positions
Luis Carlos Alvarez
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$2.02
Volume
$4,081.58
Positions
Luis Carlos Alvarez
SW4
sweetcaroline
Event PnL
-$1,504.95
Volume
$3,099.79
Positions
Rio Noguchi
A05
0xa0fd…3798
Event PnL
+$1,144.81
Volume
$2,358.00
Positions
Luis Carlos Alvarez
BA6
BaltazarGombka
Event PnL
-$283.89
Volume
$1,772.68
Positions
Rio Noguchi
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$111.05
Volume
$969.73
Positions
Rio Noguchi
388
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$151.01
Volume
$944.78
Positions
Rio Noguchi

常見問題

目前市場對「Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $58.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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