Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs

$79.6K Vol
2026年8月23日
Active
機率趨勢
Daniel Merida Aguilar 53.5%
Zizou Bergs 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 以 5,750% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs 以 5,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $79.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,450%):Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 (5,750%):作為最可行的替代選項,Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,750% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,750¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs (5,250%):以 5,250% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner (5,200%)、Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner (5,200%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 22.5 (5,150%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.57450.0%$57450¢-7350¢
2Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.55750.0%$1305750¢-5650¢
3Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs5250.0%$82.1K5250¢-5150¢
4Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 22.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
7Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 9.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 23.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
13Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Total Sets: O/U 2.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
14Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set Handicap +/-1.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
15Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 10.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Zizou Bergs in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Zizou Bergs.

This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0xd3600f212060543436E4f4B1283Aa6F8981a2EAB-1779187666633
    $70.00

    Bought 145.833332 Zizou Bergs for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.48

  • 08:22 AM
    ZIzishuai
    $1.59

    Bought 3 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:10 AM
    KAkakapipi2026
    $2.66

    Bought 5.018865 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 2 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $3.10

    Bought 5.849055 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $3.10

    Bought 5.849055 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    $242.31

    Bought 457.188678 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:09 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.80

    Bought 3.396225 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 08:06 AM
    TEtestingstation
    $10.00

    Bought 18.867923 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    FOFollower2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    $54.80

    Bought 103.396225 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

  • 07:46 AM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Daniel Merida Aguilar for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KI1
kingflop
Event PnL
+$138.42
Volume
$27,678.40
Positions
Zizou Bergs
DO2
DonaldinhoTrumpito
Event PnL
+$13.05
Volume
$24,999.97
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
SB3
sbimbg
Event PnL
+$24.35
Volume
$14,999.98
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
074
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$234.76
Volume
$14,932.37
Positions
Zizou Bergs
0C5
0x0CdF…6344
Event PnL
-$20.83
Volume
$4,166.67
Positions
Zizou Bergs
NE6
NewTeamSosed
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$3,291.92
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
JT7
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$9.50
Volume
$1,900.00
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar
A08
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$7.73
Volume
$1,546.00
Positions
Daniel Merida Aguilar

常見問題

目前市場對「Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.5(5,750%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs(5,250%)。該市場總成交量已達 $79.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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