
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day
核心摘要
根据「Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $304.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day (9,995%):Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $326.1K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%)、Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Completed Match (9,950%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day | 9995.0% | $326.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $37 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5 | 9995.0% | $141 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 22.5 | 9995.0% | $44 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | $4 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45.0% | $6 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 45.0% | $6 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Shuai Zhang and Kayla Day in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shuai Zhang' if Shuai Zhang advances against Kayla Day.
This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Shuai Zhang.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 15, 2026
- 08:35 AM——$117.77
Bought 226.480768 Kayla Day for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.52
- 06:39 AMSUsuntori$2.97
Bought 5.71 Kayla Day for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.52
- 04:31 AM0X0x3057a0af9c9B4217eE245cfd32E7f47DE43EB550-1778692097703$1.09
Bought 2.422221 Over for Zhang vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.45
- 04:28 AM0X0x7275209c49346712d75F11FD3bB6A44AE06B31EA-1769023174998$1.00
Bought 2.040815 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 12:24 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$2.38
Bought 4.857141 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
Aug 14, 2026
- 11:37 PMMWmwsking$20.00
Bought 40.816325 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 07:59 PM——$4.02
Bought 6 Zhang for Set Handicap: Day (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) at 0.67
- 06:28 PMINinputoutputsystem$9.79
Sold 20.4 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.48
- 06:24 PMINinputoutputsystem$10.00
Bought 20.408162 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 06:11 PMAGAgallae$100.00
Bought 204.081631 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 04:18 PM0X0x1793797BDEDAab854f300cf2b587b98B8c644Ebb-1766156231767$5.00
Bought 10.20408 Shuai Zhang for Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day at 0.49
- 03:57 PMFTftgv$11.20
Bought 20 Under for Zhang vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.56
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,995%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day Match O/U 21.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $304.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
