Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina

$51K Vol
2026年8月22日
Active
概率趋势
Elena Rybakina 71.5%
Taylor Townsend 28.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 6,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner 以 6,150% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $51K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,250%):Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner (6,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner 保持着 6,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,150¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,250%):以 5,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,200%)、Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
2Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
4Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
11Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
12Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.53650.0%$53650¢-3550¢
13Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
14Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
15Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina2850.0%$50.9K2850¢-2750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Townsend and Elena Rybakina in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Townsend' if Taylor Townsend advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Taylor Townsend.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 14, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    YOyongkaaaa
    $1.10

    Bought 1.527775 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.48611 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.07

    Bought 1.48611 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    KAKazacugambler39
    $17.00

    Bought 23.61111 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    MAmarigliano
    $40.00

    Bought 55.555553 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    $9.67

    Bought 13.43 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    NUnullmoon
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388885 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    TEtenx006
    $20.16

    Bought 28 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    $1.95

    Bought 2.708332 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    $2.81

    Bought 3.902775 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    0X0x3C5295869f916f626BeC1116A381886552a799E1-1782589617836
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388885 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

  • 09:01 PM
    P0p0520
    $1.44

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina at 0.72

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

8E1
0x8e83…b22f
Event PnL
+$89.79
Volume
$17,856.93
Positions
Taylor Townsend
YE2
yesmate
Event PnL
-$99.81
Volume
$9,999.80
Positions
Taylor Townsend
073
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$8.67
Volume
$8,483.65
Positions
Elena Rybakina
FR4
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
-$66.66
Volume
$4,443.94
Positions
Taylor Townsend
455
0x45h0…fef7
Event PnL
+$20.14
Volume
$4,028.89
Positions
Taylor Townsend
DE6
desynk
Event PnL
+$18.00
Volume
$3,599.99
Positions
Elena Rybakina
SB7
SBA666
Event PnL
+$51.75
Volume
$3,450.00
Positions
Elena Rybakina
ER8
Erikzamboer
Event PnL
-$11.29
Volume
$2,276.44
Positions
Elena Rybakina

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner(6,150%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5(5,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $51K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始