National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

$651.7K Vol
2026年8月16日
Active
概率趋势
Iga Swiatek 77.5%
Marta Kostyuk 22.5%

核心摘要

根据「National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 以压倒性的 8,050% 获胜概率主导市场;National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 7,500% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 以 7,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $651.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 (8,050%):National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (7,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持着 7,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,500¢。
  • National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 (7,500%):以 7,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 (7,500%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek (4,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.58050.0%8050¢-7950¢
2National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.57500.0%$4027500¢-7400¢
3National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.57500.0%$10.4K7500¢-7400¢
4National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.57500.0%$97500¢-7400¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek4350.0%$808.2K4350¢-4250¢
7National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5500.0%$1.6K500¢-400¢
8National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%$1.6K50¢50¢
9National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner5.0%$42495¢
10National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%95¢
11National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%95¢
12National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Iga Swiatek.

This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Marta Kostyuk.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    PApaisa
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Kostyuk for Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:22 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.68

    Bought 6.157891 Swiatek for Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Swiatek (+1.5) at 0.76

  • 08:19 AM
    $6.00

    Bought 13.953487 Marta Kostyuk for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.43

  • 08:19 AM
    0X0xCFF8A070F0de59DCfd8337099556C281f007bea7-1725554062975
    $200.00

    Bought 465.116278 Marta Kostyuk for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.43

  • 08:17 AM
    KRkrypttest
    $1.10

    Bought 1.89655 Iga Swiatek for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.58

  • 08:16 AM
    BEbei88688
    $100.00

    Bought 232.558138 Marta Kostyuk for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.43

  • 08:14 AM
    DPDPDplmarketer
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Iga Swiatek for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.58

  • 08:14 AM
    SIsimonx11
    $5.00

    Bought 11.627905 Marta Kostyuk for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.43

  • 07:54 AM
    CXcx1134
    $200.00

    Bought 344.827585 Iga Swiatek for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.58

  • 07:46 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724135 Iga Swiatek for National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at 0.58

  • 07:35 AM
    ZEZelebobik
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Over for Kostyuk vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.5

  • 07:33 AM
    VVVvladS
    $784.66

    Bought 1019.034543 Swiatek for Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Swiatek (+1.5) at 0.77

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$117.63
Volume
$49,999.79
Positions
Iga Swiatek
EZ2
Eztennis
Event PnL
+$201.62
Volume
$40,315.00
Positions
Iga Swiatek
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$7,856.60
Volume
$39,321.56
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$163.13
Volume
$37,150.45
Positions
Iga Swiatek
SU5
Supremeleader75
Event PnL
+$250.36
Volume
$32,989.45
Positions
Iga Swiatek
MY6
MysteryPlayerAF
Event PnL
-$4,436.52
Volume
$32,472.24
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
FR7
fRibrenlc
Event PnL
-$6,847.91
Volume
$30,801.20
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
5F8
0x5F65…1400
Event PnL
+$1,601.42
Volume
$26,792.48
Positions
Iga Swiatek

常见问题

当前市场对「National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 以 8,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.5(7,500%),以及 National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.5(7,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $651.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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