Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury

$451.1K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
Phoenix Mercury 100.0%
Toronto Tempo 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread -9.5 以压倒性的 9,755% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -8.5 以 9,300% 位居第二，Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $451.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Spread -9.5 (9,755%)：Spread -9.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,755¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $108.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -8.5 (9,300%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -8.5 保持着 9,300% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,300¢。
  • Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 (5,050%)：以 5,050% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.5 (5,050%)、Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 (5,050%)，以及 Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Spread -9.59755.0%$108.4K9755¢-9655¢
2Spread -8.59300.0%$22.1K9300¢-9200¢
3Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
4Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.55050.0%$1395050¢-4950¢
6Kiki Rice: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Natasha Mack: Points O/U 9.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
11Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Laura Juskaite: Rebounds O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Kiki Rice: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%$1305000¢-4900¢
14Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 4.55000.0%$885000¢-4900¢
15Laura Juskaite: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%$445000¢-4900¢
18Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
19Natasha Mack: Points O/U 10.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
20Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Sami Whitcomb: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Kiki Rice: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.54990.0%$6634990¢-4890¢
24Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.54990.0%$1734990¢-4890¢
25Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.54990.0%$1634990¢-4890¢
26Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 22.54990.0%$7184990¢-4890¢
27Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 23.54990.0%$4484990¢-4890¢
28O/U 171.53950.0%$2.1K3950¢-3850¢
29O/U 172.53350.0%$44.5K3350¢-3250¢
30O/U 173.52250.0%$157.9K2250¢-2150¢
31O/U 174.52050.0%$51.5K2050¢-1950¢
32O/U 176.51450.0%$60.2K1450¢-1350¢
33O/U 177.51350.0%$6.6K1350¢-1250¢
34Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury5.0%$89.8K5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 09:34 PM
    CHChickenTenders
    $78.00

    Bought 130 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 at 0.6

  • 09:28 PM
    SOsoday
    $200.00

    Bought 384.615383 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 08:55 PM
    STstyllo
    $180.00

    Bought 290.322578 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.62

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.02

    Bought 2.42857 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.42

  • 08:38 PM
    CMcmemaverick
    $0.74

    Bought 1.45 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xC42caB459BaB678A414A4f8C8054a832e2Ad42A1-1748375989996
    $24.99

    Bought 49 No for Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:38 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.65

    Bought 7.881353 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5 at 0.59

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.02

    Bought 2.125 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5) at 0.48

  • 08:05 PM
    PRProTradering
    $3.26

    Bought 4.12658 Phoenix Mercury for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.79

  • 08:02 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.433961 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53

  • 08:00 PM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $3.34

    Bought 6.297923 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.53

  • 08:00 PM
    0X0x187wyytangerrine
    $292.00

    Bought 595.918366 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5 at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$4,923.45
Volume
$164,662.91
Positions
UnderToronto TempoUnder+5
HU2
huli3882
Event PnL
-$78.64
Volume
$145,873.31
Positions
OverOverOver+4
SA3
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
+$115.09
Volume
$57,153.80
Positions
OverOverOver+1
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$671.26
Volume
$38,781.31
Positions
UnderUnderPhoenix Mercury+4
F65
0xf668…3123
Event PnL
-$1,729.97
Volume
$28,704.24
Positions
Toronto Tempo
SU6
SunlineTicker
Event PnL
+$45.93
Volume
$26,000.38
Positions
OverUnderToronto Tempo+2
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$784.87
Volume
$21,978.85
Positions
UnderPhoenix MercuryUnder+1
HE8
0xheavy888
Event PnL
-$46.59
Volume
$13,945.61
Positions
Phoenix MercuryUnderPhoenix Mercury+2

常见问题

当前市场对「Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread -9.5 以 9,755% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -8.5（9,300%），以及 Natasha Mack: Rebounds O/U 7.5（5,050%）。该市场总成交量已达 $451.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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