Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire

$84.2K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
概率趋势
Minnesota Lynx 86.5%
PortlandFire 13.5%

核心摘要

根据「Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 以压倒性的 8,650% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 183.5 以 5,600% 位居第二，Spread -11.5 以 5,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $84.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire (8,650%)：Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,650¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $24.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 183.5 (5,600%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 183.5 保持着 5,600% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,600¢。
  • Spread -11.5 (5,450%)：以 5,450% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -11.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 184.5 (5,350%)、Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 (5,200%)，以及 Spread -12.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 185.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire8650.0%$24.8K8650¢-8550¢
2O/U 183.55600.0%$3.8K5600¢-5500¢
3Spread -11.55450.0%$18.6K5450¢-5350¢
4O/U 184.55350.0%$4.7K5350¢-5250¢
5Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Spread -12.55050.0%$48.2K5050¢-4950¢
7O/U 185.55050.0%$13.8K5050¢-4950¢
8Courtney Williams: Points O/U 12.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Natasha Howard: Points O/U 11.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 4.54950.0%$3464950¢-4850¢
11O/U 186.54850.0%$9.0K4850¢-4750¢
12Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
13Olivia Miles: Points O/U 17.54750.0%$574750¢-4650¢
14Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 2.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
15Spread -13.54650.0%$10.9K4650¢-4550¢
16Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
17Kayla McBride: Points O/U 15.54450.0%$324450¢-4350¢
18Napheesa Collier: Rebounds O/U 7.54400.0%$764400¢-4300¢
19Natasha Howard: Points O/U 12.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
20Natasha Howard: Assists O/U 3.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
21Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.54150.0%$3.5K4150¢-4050¢
22Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.54100.0%$54100¢-4000¢
23Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 7.53800.0%$1103800¢-3700¢
24Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 2.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
25Napheesa Collier: Assists O/U 3.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
26Napheesa Collier: Points O/U 19.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
27Kayla McBride: Assists O/U 1.52450.0%$392450¢-2350¢
28Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.52200.0%$1992200¢-2100¢
29Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 6.52050.0%$2342050¢-1950¢
30Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.52000.0%$302000¢-1900¢
31Carla Leite: Points O/U 15.51950.0%$1.5K1950¢-1850¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 12 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".

If the PortlandFire win, the market will resolve to "PortlandFire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 12, 2026

  • 08:45 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $9.63

    Bought 19.25 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5 at 0.5

  • 08:44 AM
    EFEF717
    $12.15

    Bought 21.696427 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.56

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.85

    Bought 5.089284 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.56

  • 08:44 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $38.65

    Bought 70.27 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5) at 0.55

  • 08:44 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $2.64

    Bought 5.076922 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.52

  • 08:44 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $44.41

    Bought 87.07 Minnesota Lynx for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.51

  • 08:42 AM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5 at 0.5

  • 08:42 AM
    CUCUPFan
    $3.95

    Bought 7.32 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    VKVkey5
    $1.28

    Bought 2.370369 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    ——
    $1.30

    Bought 2.407406 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $187.95

    Bought 354.62 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.53

  • 08:41 AM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $247.04

    Bought 475.08 Over for Minnesota Lynx vs. Portland Fire: O/U 184.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CO1
ComingBack
Event PnL
+$28.55
Volume
$17,732.00
Positions
Minnesota LynxMinnesota LynxUnder
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$141.16
Volume
$17,432.02
Positions
Minnesota LynxPortland FireUnder+5
CA3
canoflanagan
Event PnL
-$0.13
Volume
$15,938.60
Positions
PortlandFire
PM4
PM1688
Event PnL
+$60.38
Volume
$8,308.31
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
FU5
Fujimi888
Event PnL
+$112.50
Volume
$6,265.98
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
YO6
YONGWIN004
Event PnL
+$64.05
Volume
$5,316.49
Positions
Portland Fire
CH7
chanello
Event PnL
-$20.07
Volume
$4,831.22
Positions
Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
HI8
hi774c
Event PnL
-$67.57
Volume
$4,812.44
Positions
Minnesota LynxOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Minnesota Lynx vs. PortlandFire 以 8,650% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 183.5（5,600%），以及 Spread -11.5（5,450%）。该市场总成交量已达 $84.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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