Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire

$99.5K Vol
2026年8月31日
Active
概率趋势
Golden State Valkyries 71.5%
Portland Fire 28.5%

核心摘要

根据「Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 以压倒性的 9,450% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -5.5 以 9,200% 位居第二，Spread -6.5 以 8,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $99.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire (9,450%)：Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,450¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $67.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -5.5 (9,200%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -5.5 保持着 9,200% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,200¢。
  • Spread -6.5 (8,650%)：以 8,650% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -6.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 157.5 (6,500%)、O/U 158.5 (5,550%)，以及 Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire9450.0%$67.7K9450¢-9350¢
2Spread -5.59200.0%$44.6K9200¢-9100¢
3Spread -6.58650.0%$10.2K8650¢-8550¢
4O/U 157.56500.0%$17.5K6500¢-6400¢
5O/U 158.55550.0%$22.7K5550¢-5450¢
6Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.55100.0%$385100¢-5000¢
7Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 12.55050.0%$25050¢-4950¢
9Tiffany Hayes: Points O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10O/U 159.55000.0%$23.3K5000¢-4900¢
11Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Veronica Burton: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Emily Engstler: Points O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Emily Engstler: Rebounds O/U 6.55000.0%$375000¢-4900¢
16Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.55000.0%$1365000¢-4900¢
21Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Emily Engstler: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Tiffany Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Tiffany Hayes: Assists O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Kaitlyn Chen: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 30 at 7:00PM ET:

If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries".

If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:23 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615383 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    NInigiri99
    $244.40

    Bought 470 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 09:19 PM
    CCCCP6969
    $58.79

    Bought 122.479165 Portland Fire for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.48

  • 09:08 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 09:03 PM
    0X0x11379F47BC32C570AFA403fdB6173d225674CBFf-1781447761460
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 09:03 PM
    WSWSoKka
    $2.90

    Bought 5.918366 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.49

  • 09:00 PM
    SUsuntori
    $1.98

    Bought 3.735848 Golden State Valkyries for Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) at 0.53

  • 08:58 PM
    WAWalrusPunch
    $12.79

    Bought 23.254544 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.55

  • 08:58 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $1,842.30

    Bought 4005 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.46

  • 08:58 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

  • 08:57 PM
    QUQuentinChen
    $8.53

    Bought 18.96 Under for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 157.5 at 0.45

  • 08:56 PM
    CLcloser1
    $14.56

    Bought 28 Over for Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 158.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$20.86
Volume
$35,098.72
Positions
Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$642.01
Volume
$32,392.65
Positions
Portland FirePortland Fire
2A3
0x2Ab1…4007
Event PnL
+$12.36
Volume
$25,654.03
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$1,610.36
Volume
$18,495.82
Positions
Portland FirePortland FireOver
BI5
bigZag
Event PnL
+$641.02
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Golden State Valkyries
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$503.86
Volume
$5,976.84
Positions
OverGolden State ValkyriesPortland Fire+1
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$25.16
Volume
$5,250.25
Positions
OverGolden State ValkyriesOver
BE8
0xbEFa…1253
Event PnL
+$359.75
Volume
$4,828.97
Positions
Golden State Valkyries

常见问题

当前市场对「Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire 以 9,450% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -5.5（9,200%），以及 Spread -6.5（8,650%）。该市场总成交量已达 $99.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始