Hungary vs. Poland

2026年8月29日
Active
概率趋势
Hungary 50.0%
Poland 50.0%

核心摘要

根据「Hungary vs. Poland」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Hungary 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Poland 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Hungary (5,000%):Hungary 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Poland (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Poland 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Hungary5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Poland5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the volleyball match between Hungary and Poland in the European Championship, originally scheduled for August 22 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Hungary" if Hungary wins the match. It will resolve to "Poland" if Poland wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.

常见问题

当前市场对「Hungary vs. Poland」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Hungary 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Poland(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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