
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
核心摘要
根据「Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $308.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $678 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,000%)、Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5) (1,000%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5) (950%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $678 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5) | 1000.0% | $353 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 6 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5) | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 7 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 950.0% | $76 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 8 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 945.0% | — | 945¢ | -845¢ |
| 9 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 95.0% | $12 | 95¢ | 5¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Winner | 5.0% | $105.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $234.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5) | 5.0% | $3.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Enterprise Esports in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Enterprise Esports.
This market will resolve to "Enterprise Esports" if Enterprise Esports win the match against Team Vitality.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 20, 2026
- 08:37 AMAZazrodprime$10.07
Bought 21.891303 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 08:33 AM——$5.00
Bought 7.35294 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.68
- 08:08 AMYOyotweee$6.96
Bought 12 Under for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 0.58
- 07:35 AMTWtw0hnepixeL$1.47
Bought 2.45 Enterprise Esports for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5) at 0.6
- 06:36 AMWAWaitimcooking$229.48
Bought 695.38 Enterprise Esports for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.33
- 05:54 AMARarcher111$3.15
Bought 4.92 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.64
- 05:54 AMJAJamesNguyen12$2.00
Bought 5.405404 Enterprise Esports for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports - Map 2 Winner at 0.37
- 05:54 AMJAJamesNguyen12$3.00
Bought 9.090908 Enterprise Esports for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.33
- 05:05 AM——$3.50
Bought 5.147056 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.68
- 04:31 AM0X0xE3b0986Bf56ef0c09D070c35586d54bDf483b4d1-1780842888194$60.00
Bought 88.235293 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.68
- 03:37 AMQUquavoo$27.60
Bought 60 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.46
- 03:15 AMDIDianj27$10.00
Bought 14.705881 Team Vitality for Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.68
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,000%),以及 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $308.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
