Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

$347.3K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
概率趋势
FUT Esports 100.0%
Team Liquid 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以压倒性的 9,005% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 9,000% 位居第二,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $347.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,005%):Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,005¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 保持着 9,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,000¢。
  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,000%)、Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,000%),以及 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59005.0%9005¢-8905¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59000.0%$259000¢-8900¢
3Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59000.0%$369000¢-8900¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
5Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59000.0%$3509000¢-8900¢
6Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)5000.0%$735000¢-4900¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$555000¢-4900¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
12Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.550.0%50¢50¢
13Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)40.0%40¢60¢
14Map 1 Winner5.0%$144.4K95¢
15Map 2 Winner5.0%$101.7K95¢
16Match Winner5.0%$182.3K95¢
17O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$3.5K95¢
18Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)5.0%$3.5K95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Liquid and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FUT Esports.

This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:33 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 8.771927 Team Liquid for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.57

  • 08:08 AM
    QUquavoo
    $9.31

    Bought 19 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 07:49 AM
    TWtw0hnepixeL
    $1.08

    Bought 1.542856 FUT Esports for Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 07:31 AM
    0X0x4D3535835BCA4DD40853647272E9fAEcB4B5b406-1783091355789
    $501.60

    Bought 1140 FUT Esports for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.44

  • 07:12 AM
    $0.98

    Sold 1.75 Team Liquid for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.56

  • 06:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $25.00

    Bought 56.82 FUT Esports for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.44

  • 06:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.20

    Bought 5 FUT Esports for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.44

  • 05:34 AM
    ARarcher111
    $1.52

    Bought 2.66 Team Liquid for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.57

  • 05:34 AM
    0X0x0dfd9BA937CF74fCdB7F542AD9E65858C126F132-1786074019306
    $3.89

    Bought 8.840908 FUT Esports for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.44

  • 03:54 AM
    ARarcher111
    $1.27

    Bought 2.22 Team Liquid for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.57

  • 03:54 AM
    RAransack
    $23.00

    Bought 52.272726 FUT Esports for Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs at 0.44

  • 03:36 AM
    ARarcher111
    $1.26

    Bought 2.37 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CA1
casualbet2020
Event PnL
+$37,783.20
Volume
$72,870.73
Positions
FUT Esports
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$25,225.15
Volume
$52,443.24
Positions
Team LiquidFUT EsportsUnder
GR3
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
-$14,456.80
Volume
$26,492.76
Positions
Team LiquidTeam Liquid
164
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$6,447.10
Volume
$26,247.48
Positions
Team Liquid
GR5
gregbeast
Event PnL
+$32.76
Volume
$19,199.59
Positions
Team Liquid
TH6
TheVeteran77
Event PnL
+$7,525.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
FUT Esports
SO7
sofa88888
Event PnL
+$8,992.48
Volume
$14,999.97
Positions
FUT Esports
QU8
quavoo
Event PnL
+$77.68
Volume
$13,621.00
Positions
FUT EsportsFUT EsportsOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 以 9,005% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(9,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $347.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始