
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
核心摘要
根据「Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,KRÜ Esports 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Evil Geniuses 以 50% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $417.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- KRÜ Esports (9,950%):KRÜ Esports 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Evil Geniuses (50%):作为最可行的替代选项,Evil Geniuses 保持着 50% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KRÜ Esports | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Evil Geniuses | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 3 match between Evil Geniuses and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses" if Evil Geniuses win the match against KRÜ Esports.
This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against Evil Geniuses.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 23, 2026
- 09:05 PMEHehonks$4.00
Bought 7.017541 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.57
- 09:00 PMJWjwocky$3.00
Bought 5 Under for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 0.6
- 08:55 PMNAnaaaaaicow$100.00
Bought 175.438595 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.57
- 08:52 PM——$1.50
Bought 2.727271 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner at 0.55
- 08:04 PMTAtanwa25$1.00
Bought 2.272726 Evil Geniuses for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.44
- 08:04 PMABabobus2000$17.10
Bought 30 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.57
- 07:45 PMNONoahctf$2.00
Bought 4.54 Evil Geniuses for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.44
- 07:21 PMPSPS003$1,400.00
Bought 2456.140348 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.57
- 07:20 PMTAtanwa25$1.00
Bought 2.272726 Evil Geniuses for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.44
- 07:20 PM353546412$5.00
Bought 8.771927 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.57
- 07:20 PMEPEpyat$10.00
Bought 22.727271 Evil Geniuses for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.44
- 07:19 PMOTOtchim4love$403.98
Bought 918.12911 Evil Geniuses for Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.44
常见问题
当前市场对「Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,KRÜ Esports 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Evil Geniuses(50%)。该市场总成交量已达 $417.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
