Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

$445.7K Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
概率趋势
Eternal Fire 100.0%
Joblife 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $445.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $250.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,000%)、Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Joblife (+3.5) (9,000%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Joblife (+4.5) (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$250.6K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7449995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Joblife (+3.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-4.5) vs Joblife (+4.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-5.5) vs Joblife (+5.5)9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51000.0%$151000¢-900¢
12Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51000.0%$61000¢-900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
14Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Joblife (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Joblife (+6.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-7.5) vs Joblife (+7.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-8.5) vs Joblife (+8.5)1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)5.0%$2.5K95¢
20Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)5.0%$595¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Eternal Fire and Joblife in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 8 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against Joblife.

This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win the match against Eternal Fire.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:33 PM
    0X0x0EbBaDb738B3432E4Bb200d3B4B7CB8F47BA71c8-1778342377443
    $2.08

    Sold 2.08 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 08:27 PM
    SUsuntori
    $190.46

    Sold 190.46 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife - Map 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    BIbibih
    $900.00

    Sold 900 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:20 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $276.37

    Sold 276.37 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:18 PM
    FLFlominette
    $41.66

    Sold 41.66 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:14 PM
    GCGCodeing
    $21.27

    Sold 21.27 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:13 PM
    GGGggds630
    $35.65

    Sold 35.65 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:12 PM
    BAbangbangbang21
    $383.72

    Sold 383.72 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:11 PM
    BEbengillitt
    $1.01

    Sold 1.01 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:09 PM
    KIKins-313
    $46.58

    Sold 46.58 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:08 PM
    IMimake1mil
    $160.00

    Sold 160 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

  • 08:07 PM
    IFIFRITHIZER
    $5.55

    Sold 5.55 Eternal Fire for Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NO1
Novelty8
Event PnL
+$16.08
Volume
$32,150.63
Positions
Eternal Fire
AT2
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$651.72
Volume
$10,469.16
Positions
Joblife
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$5.52
Volume
$7,520.19
Positions
Joblife
GR4
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
-$333.78
Volume
$7,169.57
Positions
JoblifeEternal Fire
GR5
gregbeast
Event PnL
+$495.01
Volume
$7,139.03
Positions
Joblife
KE6
KeyserSoze-
Event PnL
+$2,863.69
Volume
$6,993.15
Positions
Eternal Fire
SI7
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$1,047.74
Volume
$6,536.23
Positions
JoblifeJoblife
LA8
landighertz
Event PnL
+$3.18
Volume
$6,355.32
Positions
Eternal Fire

常见问题

当前市场对「Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Joblife (+2.5)(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $445.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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