The International 2026: Most Banned Hero

根据「The International 2026: Most Banned Hero」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Puck 以压倒性的 2,600% 获胜概率主导市场；Shadow Fiend 以 2,600% 位居第二，Doom 以 2,600% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• Puck (2,600%)：Puck 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 2,600¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $12 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• Shadow Fiend (2,600%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Shadow Fiend 保持着 2,600% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 2,600¢。
• Doom (2,600%)：以 2,600% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Doom 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

• 替代选项：包括 Bane (2,600%)、Treant Protector (2,600%)，以及 Keeper of the Light (2,600%)。
• 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Ember Spirit 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

This market will resolve to the listed hero banned the most times during The International 2026 (TI 2026), originally scheduled for August 13 – August 23, 2026.

Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this market, including forfeits in games that start.

A ban does not count if the game does not start.

In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher pick rate. In case a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically.

If a game does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market.

If the competition is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of The International 2026 are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Liquipedia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.