The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps

1年1月1日
Resolved
概率趋势
Yes 57.0%
No 43.0%

核心摘要

根据「The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Yes 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;No 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Yes (5,000%):Yes 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • No (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,No 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Yes5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2No5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a team wins any completed game after the opposing team has spawned mega creeps at The International 2026 (TI 2026) Dota 2 tournament, held August 13–23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward this market, including the group stage, playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count, even if mega creeps spawned during them. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.

If at least one qualifying comeback occurs in any completed game at the tournament, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon the conclusion of that game being confirmed by the resolution sources. If the tournament concludes without any qualifying comeback, this market will resolve to "No".

If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final game data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game barracks and winner data for The International 2026 event. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.

常见问题

当前市场对「The International 2026: Comeback Against Mega Creeps」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Yes 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 No(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始