
Pikachu ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
核心摘要
根据「Pikachu ex Price Up/Down on August 31?」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Up 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Down 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Up (5,000%):Up 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Down (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Down 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Up | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Down | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,093.18.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,093.18.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,093.18.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
常见问题
当前市场对「Pikachu ex Price Up/Down on August 31?」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Up 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Down(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
