Commanders vs. Ravens

$429.2K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
概率趋势
Ravens 97.2%
Commanders 2.8%

核心摘要

根据「Commanders vs. Ravens」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 15.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 17.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，O/U 19.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $429.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 15.5 (9,995%)：O/U 15.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 17.5 (9,995%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 17.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 19.5 (9,995%)：以 9,995% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 19.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 21.5 (9,995%)、O/U 23.5 (9,995%)，以及 Ravens O/U 13.5 (9,955%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Ravens O/U 16.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 15.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 17.59995.0%$659995¢-9895¢
3O/U 19.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 21.59995.0%$19995¢-9895¢
5O/U 23.59995.0%$6019995¢-9895¢
6Ravens O/U 13.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
7Ravens O/U 16.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
81H Spread -2.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
91Q Spread -0.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
101Q Spread -1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
111Q Spread -2.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
121Q O/U 1.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
131Q O/U 4.59955.0%$1009955¢-9855¢
141Q O/U 7.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
151Q O/U 10.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
161Q O/U 13.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
17Ravens 1H O/U 7.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
18Ravens 1H O/U 9.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
19Ravens 1H O/U 11.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
201Q Spread -3.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
211Q Spread -4.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
22O/U 29.59575.0%$2.7K9575¢-9475¢
23Spread -4.59555.0%$12.5K9555¢-9455¢
24Spread -1.59500.0%$6619500¢-9400¢
25Spread -3.59455.0%$116.1K9455¢-9355¢
26Spread -2.59345.0%$6.3K9345¢-9245¢
27Spread -6.59060.0%$1.1K9060¢-8960¢
28Ravens O/U 19.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
29Ravens O/U 18.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
30Ravens O/U 22.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
311H O/U 17.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
321H O/U 18.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
33O/U 33.58400.0%$34.8K8400¢-8300¢
34O/U 34.57700.0%$10.5K7700¢-7600¢
35O/U 35.57400.0%$1.1K7400¢-7300¢
36O/U 27.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
37O/U 25.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
38O/U 37.56550.0%$1946550¢-6450¢
39O/U 31.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
40O/U 45.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
41O/U 43.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
422H Spread -2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
432H Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
442H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Commanders O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 39.55000.0%$1935000¢-4900¢
47O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 51.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Commanders O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Commanders O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Commanders O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Commanders O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Ravens O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Exact Margin: Commanders by 25+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Exact Margin: Commanders by 19-245000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Exact Margin: Commanders by 13-185000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-125000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-135000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Exact Margin: Ravens by 14-205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Exact Margin: Ravens by 21+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Commanders vs. Ravens: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76O/U 41.54450.0%$2.4K4450¢-4350¢
77O/U 47.52000.0%$1.3K2000¢-1900¢
78Commanders 1H O/U 6.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
79Commanders 1H O/U 10.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
80O/U 53.5650.0%$22650¢-550¢
81Commanders vs. Ravens155.0%$238.7K155¢-55¢
821H Moneyline45.0%—45¢55¢
831Q Moneyline45.0%—45¢55¢
84Commanders 1H O/U 8.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00PM ET:

If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".

If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:43 PM
    NInigiri99
    $74.10

    Bought 130 Ravens for Spread: Ravens (-1.5) at 0.57

  • 09:43 PM
    ZYZYbRUIpL
    $1.00

    Bought 11.11111 Over for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 53.5 at 0.09

  • 09:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $22.96

    Bought 56 Ravens for Spread: Ravens (-6.5) at 0.41

  • 09:39 PM
    NInigiri99
    $29.12

    Bought 56 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:39 PM
    0X0x3E7C5Ca2befae15F098c8020b056aBaEC7D1B746-1785258737687
    $24.00

    Bought 54.545453 Under for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 33.5 at 0.44

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $196.56

    Bought 378 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.32

    Bought 16 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $754.00

    Bought 1450 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.32

    Bought 16 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.84

    Bought 17 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $168.08

    Bought 382 Under for Commanders vs. Ravens: O/U 33.5 at 0.44

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.84

    Bought 17 Commanders for Spread: Ravens (-4.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$78,855.81
Volume
$204,168.42
Positions
BALRavensOver+3
LA2
laozishudaosan
Event PnL
-$34,876.66
Volume
$112,680.20
Positions
Commanders
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$1,504.58
Volume
$83,672.70
Positions
RavensWAS
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$25,442.02
Volume
$70,779.92
Positions
WASCommandersRavens+8
FE5
Feromont
Event PnL
+$5,900.03
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Ravens
CA6
CAcap
Event PnL
-$5,182.89
Volume
$12,781.00
Positions
WASCommandersWAS+1
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$3,557.15
Volume
$12,089.96
Positions
WASUnderCommanders+3
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1,848.08
Volume
$11,839.57
Positions
CommandersBALWAS+1

常见问题

当前市场对「Commanders vs. Ravens」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 15.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 17.5（9,995%），以及 O/U 19.5（9,995%）。该市场总成交量已达 $429.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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