Seahawks vs. Chiefs

$176.3K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
概率趋势
Chiefs 50.5%
Seahawks 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Seahawks vs. Chiefs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 16.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;1Q O/U 1.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,1Q O/U 4.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $176.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 16.5 (9,995%):O/U 16.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1Q O/U 1.5 (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,1Q O/U 1.5 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
  • 1Q O/U 4.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1Q O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 18.5 (9,300%)、1H Spread -0.5 (9,000%),以及 O/U 20.5 (5,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Seahawks O/U 18.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 16.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
21Q O/U 1.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
31Q O/U 4.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
4O/U 18.59300.0%$1359300¢-9200¢
51H Spread -0.59000.0%9000¢-8900¢
6O/U 20.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
7Seahawks O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Chiefs O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Seahawks O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Chiefs O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17O/U 44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18O/U 46.55000.0%$1355000¢-4900¢
19O/U 50.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 52.55000.0%$2615000¢-4900¢
21O/U 56.55000.0%$715000¢-4900¢
22Seahawks O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Seahawks O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Seahawks O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Seahawks O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Chiefs O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Chiefs O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Chiefs O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Chiefs O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Exact Margin: Seahawks by 25+5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Exact Margin: Seahawks by 19-245000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Exact Margin: Seahawks by 13-185000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-125000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-65000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Exact Margin: Chiefs by 1-65000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-135000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Exact Margin: Chiefs by 14-205000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Exact Margin: Chiefs by 21+5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Chiefs Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
42Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43Seahawks vs. Chiefs: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
442H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
512H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
522H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
56Seahawks vs. Chiefs4850.0%$165.3K4850¢-4750¢
57O/U 24.54350.0%$324350¢-4250¢
58Spread -2.54200.0%$7984200¢-4100¢
59Spread -1.54150.0%$2.3K4150¢-4050¢
60Spread -1.53850.0%$2.3K3850¢-3750¢
61Spread -3.52000.0%$1352000¢-1900¢
62Spread -4.51850.0%$3451850¢-1750¢
63O/U 30.51300.0%$151300¢-1200¢
641H O/U 17.51000.0%$291000¢-900¢
651H Moneyline1000.0%1000¢-900¢
66Chiefs 1H O/U 6.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
67Chiefs 1H O/U 8.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
68Chiefs 1H O/U 10.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
69Seahawks 1H O/U 6.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
70Seahawks 1H O/U 8.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
71Seahawks 1H O/U 10.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
721Q Spread -0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
731Q Spread -1.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
741Q Spread -2.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
751Q O/U 7.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
761Q O/U 10.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
771Q O/U 13.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
781Q Spread -3.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
791Q Spread -4.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
801H O/U 18.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
811Q Spread -0.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
821Q Spread -1.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
831Q Spread -2.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
84O/U 33.5600.0%$734600¢-500¢
85O/U 34.5550.0%$1.2K550¢-450¢
86O/U 35.5360.0%$388360¢-260¢
87O/U 36.5350.0%$907350¢-250¢
88O/U 38.5215.0%$50215¢-115¢
89O/U 48.5110.0%$185110¢-10¢
90O/U 54.5105.0%$31105¢-5¢
91O/U 42.5100.0%$320100¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET:

If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks".

If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 07:34 PM
    NANapoleonDynamighty08
    $225.00

    Bought 450 Seahawks for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.5

  • 07:32 PM
    TEtendencies
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Seahawks for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.5

  • 07:26 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $7.71

    Bought 16.75 Over for Seahawks vs. Chiefs: O/U 34.5 at 0.46

  • 06:16 PM
    DADanshan11
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Under for Seahawks vs. Chiefs: O/U 34.5 at 0.53

  • 05:44 PM
    JOjohn-blue
    $4.82

    Sold 9.84 Seahawks for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.49

  • 05:41 PM
    JOjohn-blue
    $4.92

    Bought 9.84 Seahawks for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.5

  • 05:37 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $62.17

    Bought 121.91 Chiefs for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.51

  • 05:35 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.79

    Bought 21.15 Chiefs for Seahawks vs. Chiefs at 0.51

  • 05:24 PM
    THTheGoonKing
    $201.40

    Bought 380 Over for SEA vs. KC: O/U 33.5 at 0.53

  • 04:41 PM
    LPlpcapital1
    $23.32

    Bought 30.29 Over for Seahawks vs. Chiefs: O/U 24.5 at 0.77

  • 04:39 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $141.00

    Bought 300 Over for Seahawks vs. Chiefs: O/U 34.5 at 0.47

  • 04:33 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $85.89

    Bought 204.49 SEA for Spread: SEA (-2.5) at 0.42

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BA1
bands1
Event PnL
-$3.39
Volume
$70,809.66
Positions
ChiefsKC
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$704.68
Volume
$20,429.00
Positions
SeahawksOverKC+1
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$957.95
Volume
$17,416.99
Positions
Seahawks
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$326.70
Volume
$10,252.03
Positions
SeahawksSeahawksOver
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$235.51
Volume
$10,105.00
Positions
SeahawksSEASeahawks+7
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$197.12
Volume
$7,494.21
Positions
SeahawksChiefsUnder+4
TA7
takeormake
Event PnL
-$111.67
Volume
$5,738.99
Positions
ChiefsSeahawksSeahawks
BT8
btcookiedough555
Event PnL
-$461.36
Volume
$5,557.40
Positions
Chiefs

常见问题

当前市场对「Seahawks vs. Chiefs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 16.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1Q O/U 1.5(9,955%),以及 1Q O/U 4.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $176.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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