Raiders vs. Texans

$157.8K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
概率趋势
Raiders 54.5%
Texans 45.5%

核心摘要

根据「Raiders vs. Texans」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1H O/U 19.5 以压倒性的 5,700% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 5,550% 位居第二,Raiders vs. Texans 以 5,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $157.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1H O/U 19.5 (5,700%):1H O/U 19.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $312 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (5,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 5,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,550¢。
  • Raiders vs. Texans (5,450%):以 5,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Raiders vs. Texans 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 38.5 (5,450%)、Texans O/U 18.5 (5,200%),以及 Raiders O/U 20.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Texans O/U 17.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11H O/U 19.55700.0%$3125700¢-5600¢
2O/U 37.55550.0%$3.5K5550¢-5450¢
3Raiders vs. Texans5450.0%$79.4K5450¢-5350¢
4O/U 38.55450.0%$12.0K5450¢-5350¢
5Texans O/U 18.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Raiders O/U 20.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Texans O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8O/U 39.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Raiders O/U 18.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
101H O/U 20.54900.0%$104900¢-4800¢
11Spread -1.54850.0%$10.2K4850¢-4750¢
12Texans O/U 19.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
13O/U 40.54700.0%$3.6K4700¢-4600¢
14Raiders O/U 19.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
151H Moneyline4600.0%$1.6K4600¢-4500¢
16Texans O/U 20.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
17Spread -1.54250.0%$10.2K4250¢-4150¢
18Spread -2.53950.0%$9173950¢-3850¢
191H Spread -0.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 20 at 8:00PM ET:

If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders".

If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:10 PM
    QUquavoo
    $13.05

    Bought 29 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:10 PM
    QUquavoo
    $4.95

    Bought 11 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:10 PM
    QUquavoo
    $6.30

    Bought 14 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:10 PM
    QUquavoo
    $20.70

    Bought 46 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:09 PM
    QUquavoo
    $76.86

    Bought 126 Under for LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5 at 0.61

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $347.40

    Bought 772 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $116.55

    Bought 259 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $25.65

    Bought 57 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $51.75

    Bought 115 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $83.25

    Bought 185 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $116.55

    Bought 259 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:06 PM
    SUSunlineTicker
    $51.75

    Bought 115 HOU for Spread: HOU (-1.5) at 0.45

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$112.78
Volume
$9,598.06
Positions
TexansOver
AN2
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$2.77
Volume
$6,020.90
Positions
RaidersLVHOU+3
A63
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$65.55
Volume
$4,028.97
Positions
RaidersOverTexans
MO4
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$104.92
Volume
$3,422.66
Positions
Raiders
PA5
Painfulvoid
Event PnL
+$80.31
Volume
$3,273.26
Positions
UnderRaiders
IC6
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$202.38
Volume
$3,060.50
Positions
UnderRaiders
QU7
quavoo
Event PnL
-$56.31
Volume
$2,268.00
Positions
TexansHOUUnder+3
418
0x418D…7961
Event PnL
-$10.98
Volume
$2,199.99
Positions
LV

常见问题

当前市场对「Raiders vs. Texans」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1H O/U 19.5 以 5,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(5,550%),以及 Raiders vs. Texans(5,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $157.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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