Falcons vs. Dolphins

$150.5K Vol
2026年8月29日
Active
概率趋势
Falcons 89.5%
Dolphins 10.5%

核心摘要

根据「Falcons vs. Dolphins」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 16.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 18.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，1H O/U 19.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $150.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 16.5 (9,995%)：O/U 16.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 18.5 (9,995%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 18.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • 1H O/U 19.5 (9,955%)：以 9,955% 的概率位列第三，市场对 1H O/U 19.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 1Q O/U 4.5 (9,955%)、1Q O/U 7.5 (9,955%)，以及 O/U 20.5 (9,950%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 1H Spread -2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 16.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 18.59995.0%$209995¢-9895¢
31H O/U 19.59955.0%$79955¢-9855¢
41Q O/U 4.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
51Q O/U 7.59955.0%$59955¢-9855¢
6O/U 20.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
71H Spread -2.59945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
81H Moneyline9945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
91H Spread -3.59945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
10O/U 24.59380.0%$2669380¢-9280¢
111Q Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
121Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
131Q Spread -1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
141Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
151Q O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
161Q Spread -3.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
17Falcons vs. Dolphins8950.0%$85.0K8950¢-8850¢
18Spread -1.58600.0%$3548600¢-8500¢
19Spread -2.58350.0%$6.9K8350¢-8250¢
20O/U 30.58350.0%$88350¢-8250¢
21Spread -3.57900.0%$15.1K7900¢-7800¢
22Spread -4.57650.0%$8.2K7650¢-7550¢
23Spread -5.57250.0%$3.5K7250¢-7150¢
24Spread -6.57100.0%$1627100¢-7000¢
25O/U 26.57100.0%$2357100¢-7000¢
26O/U 22.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
27O/U 34.56900.0%$6736900¢-6800¢
28O/U 35.56500.0%$11.1K6500¢-6400¢
29O/U 36.55850.0%$18.3K5850¢-5750¢
30O/U 28.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
31O/U 46.55400.0%$15400¢-5300¢
32O/U 32.55250.0%$35250¢-5150¢
33O/U 37.55250.0%$865250¢-5150¢
342H Spread -1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
352H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Dolphins O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Falcons O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 38.55000.0%$1505000¢-4900¢
39O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 44.55000.0%$1295000¢-4900¢
41O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 52.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 56.55000.0%$785000¢-4900¢
44Dolphins O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Dolphins O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Dolphins O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Dolphins O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Falcons O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Falcons O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Falcons O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Falcons O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-245000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-185000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-125000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Exact Margin: Tie5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-65000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-135000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Exact Margin: Dolphins by 14-205000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Exact Margin: Dolphins by 21+5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Falcons vs. Dolphins: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
662H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Falcons 1H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Falcons 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Falcons 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
752H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
762H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
772H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78O/U 42.53250.0%$93250¢-3150¢
79O/U 48.51250.0%$1171250¢-1150¢
801Q O/U 10.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
811Q O/U 13.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
821Q Spread -4.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
83O/U 54.5455.0%$78455¢-355¢
84Dolphins 1H O/U 6.555.0%—55¢45¢
85Dolphins 1H O/U 8.555.0%—55¢45¢
86Dolphins 1H O/U 10.555.0%—55¢45¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:00PM ET:

If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons".

If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:45 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5 at 0.82

  • 09:42 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $9.90

    Bought 18 Under for ATL vs. MIA: O/U 37.5 at 0.55

  • 09:33 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $3.99

    Bought 7 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 38.5 at 0.57

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Under for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5 at 0.8

  • 09:28 PM
    0X0xa3819B2e87714AD1a83CAA4497aE3618ea2C2961-1776021144038
    $1.00

    Bought 1.176466 Over for Falcons vs. Dolphins: O/U 24.5 at 0.85

  • 09:27 PM
    NInigiri99
    $15.25

    Bought 25 Falcons for Spread: Falcons (-1.5) at 0.61

  • 09:26 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.50

    Bought 5 ATL for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 09:26 PM
    NInigiri99
    $26.00

    Bought 52 ATL for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 09:26 PM
    ——
    $1.46

    Bought 2.807691 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:24 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $13.00

    Bought 25 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $5.72

    Bought 11 MIA for Spread: ATL (-4.5) at 0.52

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.95

    Bought 5 ATL for Spread: ATL (-2.5) at 0.59

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$1,428.92
Volume
$32,433.00
Positions
FalconsATLATL+6
CA2
CAcap
Event PnL
-$1,451.40
Volume
$19,510.72
Positions
MIAMIAMIA+2
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$99.40
Volume
$15,342.51
Positions
FalconsATLUnder
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$611.28
Volume
$14,813.86
Positions
DolphinsMIAUnder+5
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$449.92
Volume
$7,587.69
Positions
OverMIA
AE6
0xAE82…3024
Event PnL
-$191.41
Volume
$7,051.28
Positions
FalconsUnderATL
0A7
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
-$275.93
Volume
$6,460.50
Positions
MIADolphins
HO8
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$753.72
Volume
$4,851.73
Positions
UnderFalcons

常见问题

当前市场对「Falcons vs. Dolphins」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 16.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 18.5（9,995%），以及 1H O/U 19.5（9,955%）。该市场总成交量已达 $150.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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