Athletics vs. Houston Astros

$60.8K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
Houston Astros 62.5%
Athletics 37.5%

核心摘要

根据「Athletics vs. Houston Astros」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 7,850% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,750% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 以 5,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $60.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,850%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,750%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持着 6,750% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,750¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,450%):以 5,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 8.5 (5,250%)、NRFI (5,200%),以及 Spread -1.5 (4,450%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
4O/U 8.55250.0%$3.8K5250¢-5150¢
5NRFI5200.0%$655200¢-5100¢
6Spread -1.54450.0%$54450¢-4350¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
8O/U 9.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
10Athletics vs. Houston Astros3750.0%$56.8K3750¢-3650¢
11O/U 10.53500.0%3500¢-3400¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 6.53450.0%$103450¢-3350¢
13Spread -2.53450.0%$493450¢-3350¢
14Spread -1.52750.0%$52750¢-2650¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
16Spread -2.51950.0%$491950¢-1850¢
17Extra Innings750.0%750¢-650¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    0X0x5Bc9A1d1ca6eD6D5D6A831A184b58A8E2078b2Ee-1770820727981
    $3.00

    Bought 6.521738 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 08:27 AM
    $3.28

    Sold 5.38 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 08:22 AM
    99998719826541651
    $20.00

    Bought 32.25 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

  • 08:08 AM
    ATathousandlivez
    $16.00

    Bought 25.80645 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

  • 08:06 AM
    PEpeachfuzz1
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660376 Over for Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 07:33 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.70

    Bought 3.695651 Houston Astros for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 07:33 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.90

    Bought 3.064515 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

  • 07:19 AM
    REreparadise
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

  • 07:12 AM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 6 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.5

  • 06:51 AM
    TATashTrilogy
    $1.78

    Bought 2.870965 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

  • 06:34 AM
    RORomerzn
    $9.68

    Sold 15.87 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.61

  • 06:24 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 3.225805 Houston Astros for Athletics vs. Houston Astros at 0.62

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$166.66
Volume
$33,332.90
Positions
Athletics
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$85.22
Volume
$17,040.13
Positions
Houston Astros
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$74.96
Volume
$14,988.13
Positions
Houston Astros
SE4
sentrio
Event PnL
+$33.46
Volume
$6,532.86
Positions
Houston Astros
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$13.18
Volume
$6,208.85
Positions
Houston AstrosOver
0X6
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$26.32
Volume
$5,263.15
Positions
Athletics
QU7
quavoo
Event PnL
+$3.27
Volume
$3,146.00
Positions
Under
PL8
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$13.16
Volume
$2,631.57
Positions
Athletics

常见问题

当前市场对「Athletics vs. Houston Astros」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,750%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5(5,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $60.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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