Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets

$754.7K Vol
2026年9月3日
Active
概率趋势
Milwaukee Brewers 100.0%
New York Mets 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,850% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,570% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $754.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets (9,995%):Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $229.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,850¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,570%):以 9,570% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -3.5 (6,250%)、Spread -5.5 (5,700%),以及 Spread -4.5 (5,700%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Extra Innings 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets9995.0%$229.6K9995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59850.0%$1.3K9850¢-9750¢
3Spread -2.59570.0%$2.2K9570¢-9470¢
4Spread -3.56250.0%$416250¢-6150¢
5Spread -5.55700.0%5700¢-5600¢
6Spread -4.55700.0%$2.4K5700¢-5600¢
7Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Spread -6.55000.0%$1175000¢-4900¢
9O/U 11.55000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 10.53250.0%$513250¢-3150¢
11O/U 12.52700.0%$7142700¢-2600¢
12O/U 9.52200.0%$5.2K2200¢-2100¢
13Spread -7.550.0%$7250¢50¢
14Spread -2.55.0%$2.2K95¢
15Spread -1.55.0%$1.3K95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, scheduled for August 26 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 26, 2026

  • 08:54 PM
    $1.20

    Bought 2.222221 New York Mets for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0x33c9101c64b9ba0fFCC200408afA2e91891f5124-1768236962087
    $40.00

    Bought 81.632652 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 08:17 PM
    MWmwsking
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 07:38 PM
    TOtodamooon
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949151 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 07:37 PM
    0O0ooogway
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 07:33 PM
    0X0x1eB67FDEC644c05BEa0A6883483fCB414e01c733-1783087662922
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263155 Over for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 at 0.57

  • 07:23 PM
    3M3monthgoal
    $50.60

    Bought 110 Milwaukee Brewers for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 07:22 PM
    BOBolbolszki
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 New York Mets for Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) at 0.55

  • 07:11 PM
    ABabelrn07
    $5.90

    Bought 10 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 06:51 PM
    HAHayek-david-g
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 06:42 PM
    0X0xAAbB8Bb3df71b7CfB6c886453c2dAdaaB
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

  • 06:33 PM
    PHphilk53
    $2.00

    Bought 3.389829 Milwaukee Brewers for Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets at 0.59

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WE1
Weaseloftheweek
Event PnL
-$30,434.41
Volume
$272,805.17
Positions
Over
SA2
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$19,539.63
Volume
$195,171.07
Positions
Over
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$21,550.62
Volume
$189,133.95
Positions
Under
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$7,166.74
Volume
$68,254.03
Positions
Under
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$4,267.70
Volume
$56,052.07
Positions
UnderNew York MetsUnder+2
NI6
NiNo999
Event PnL
-$1,399.24
Volume
$46,711.14
Positions
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
PW7
Pwaddler
Event PnL
+$4,144.44
Volume
$43,625.19
Positions
Under
BO8
BoggsFromShawshank
Event PnL
+$3,399.63
Volume
$34,000.00
Positions
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,850%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,570%)。该市场总成交量已达 $754.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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