Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props

$154 Vol
2026年8月15日
Active
概率趋势
Under 58.5%
Over 41.5%

核心摘要

根据「Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以压倒性的 5,350% 获胜概率主导市场；Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 以 4,350% 位居第二，Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 以 4,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $154，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,350%)：Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,350¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $27 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (4,350%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 保持着 4,350% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,350¢。
  • Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (4,150%)：以 4,150% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,600%)、Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (3,500%)，以及 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (2,800%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.55350.0%$275350¢-5250¢
2Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
3Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.54150.0%$834150¢-4050¢
4Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 3.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
5Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 3.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
6Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 4.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
7Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.51050.0%$51050¢-950¢
8Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 0.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
9Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
10Zach Neto: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
11Isaac Collins: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
12Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
13Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 0.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
14Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
15Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 0.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
16Vaughn Grissom: Home Runs O/U 0.5500.0%—500¢-400¢
17Nolan Schanuel: Home Runs O/U 0.5405.0%—405¢-305¢
18Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 0.5400.0%—400¢-300¢
19Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 1.5285.0%—285¢-185¢
20Bobby Witt Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5190.0%—190¢-90¢
21Carter Jensen: Home Runs O/U 1.5190.0%—190¢-90¢
22Mike Trout: Home Runs O/U 1.5175.0%—175¢-75¢
23Zach Neto: Home Runs O/U 1.5160.0%—160¢-60¢
24Salvador Perez: Home Runs O/U 1.5140.0%—140¢-40¢
25Michael Massey: Home Runs O/U 1.5135.0%—135¢-35¢
26Isaac Collins: Home Runs O/U 1.5120.0%—120¢-20¢
27Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 1.555.0%$1055¢45¢
28Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 1.540.0%$1040¢60¢
29Vaughn Grissom: Home Runs O/U 1.540.0%$1040¢60¢
30Nolan Schanuel: Home Runs O/U 1.530.0%$1030¢70¢

裁决规则

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 14 at 9:38 PM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 14, 2026

  • 07:29 AM
    USUseraxe
    $3.00

    Sold 5 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.6

  • 07:16 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.61

  • 07:16 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $4.72

    Bought 7.74 Under for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.61

  • 07:16 AM
    12123zvzxcvzxcv
    $15.47

    Bought 40.7 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.38

  • 07:14 AM
    12123zvzxcvzxcv
    $4.73

    Bought 9.28 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.51

  • 06:24 AM
    LOlolsun
    $4.88

    Bought 12.19 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.4

  • 06:24 AM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $4.88

    Bought 12.19 Over for Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 0.4

  • 06:02 AM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 4.761903 Over for Jac Caglianone: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.21

  • 05:20 AM
    LOlolsun
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.57

  • 05:20 AM
    0X0x207702d39743B9E76595fB2982dccdb300FB8161-1772429680242
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77 Over for Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.57

  • 04:36 AM
    0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Wade Meckler: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99

  • 04:36 AM
    0X0x833dC214Ab753CbA994A74689d729bEe27A7eC8E-1785933397147
    $9.90

    Bought 10 Under for Oswald Peraza: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DA1
dado2
Event PnL
+$0.11
Volume
$69.53
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
122
123zvzxcvzxcv
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+$1.78
Volume
$62.72
Positions
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US3
Useraxe
Event PnL
-$0.03
Volume
$25.00
Positions
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LO4
lolsun
Event PnL
-$0.12
Volume
$20.96
Positions
OverOver
205
0x2077…0242
Event PnL
-$0.12
Volume
$20.96
Positions
OverOver
836
0x833d…7147
Event PnL
+$19.90
Volume
$20.00
Positions
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RA7
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Event PnL
-$0.51
Volume
$17.13
Positions
Under
DR8
DriftCapital
Event PnL
-$0.19
Volume
$7.74
Positions
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels - Player Props」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 以 5,350% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Seth Lugo: Strikeouts O/U 2.5（4,350%），以及 Grayson Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 5.5（4,150%）。该市场总成交量已达 $154，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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