Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

$92.3K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
Detroit Tigers 50.5%
Kansas City Royals 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 7,600% 获胜概率主导市场;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,300% 位居第二,O/U 7.5 以 5,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $92.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,600%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持着 6,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,300¢。
  • O/U 7.5 (5,850%):以 5,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,100%)、Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals (5,050%),以及 O/U 8.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 NRFI 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56300.0%$36300¢-6200¢
3O/U 7.55850.0%$2175850¢-5750¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.55100.0%$355100¢-5000¢
5Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals5050.0%$44.7K5050¢-4950¢
6O/U 8.55050.0%$44.6K5050¢-4950¢
7NRFI4950.0%$64950¢-4850¢
8O/U 9.54050.0%$1.9K4050¢-3950¢
9Spread -1.53850.0%$523850¢-3750¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 5.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
11Spread -1.53150.0%$523150¢-3050¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢
14Spread -2.52950.0%$532950¢-2850¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 6.52700.0%$402700¢-2600¢
16Spread -2.52150.0%$532150¢-2050¢
17Extra Innings1000.0%1000¢-900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:01 AM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $3.00

    Bought 5.882351 Detroit Tigers for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.51

  • 07:12 AM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 5.77 No for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 06:42 AM
    QUquavoo
    $111.72

    Bought 228 Kansas City Royals for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.49

  • 06:21 AM
    $2.90

    Bought 5.918366 Kansas City Royals for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.49

  • 06:21 AM
    NEnemed
    $2.00

    Bought 4.081631 Kansas City Royals for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.49

  • 05:45 AM
    ATatlis-mlb
    $1.43

    Bought 2.75 Detroit Tigers for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 05:42 AM
    QUquavoo
    $9.60

    Bought 16 Under for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.6

  • 05:41 AM
    JWjwocky
    $1.49

    Bought 3.11 Kansas City Royals for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.48

  • 05:29 AM
    USUseraxe
    $3.18

    Sold 4.75 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) at 0.67

  • 05:14 AM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $27.93

    Bought 66.51 Over for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.42

  • 04:17 AM
    $116.67

    Bought 220.132074 Detroit Tigers for Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

  • 04:07 AM
    MImillionaire9
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Detroit Tigers for Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) at 0.67

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
-$221.42
Volume
$44,283.33
Positions
Over
3D2
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
+$165.61
Volume
$33,059.68
Positions
Kansas City Royals
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$154.06
Volume
$31,215.99
Positions
UnderKansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$71.89
Volume
$14,381.00
Positions
Detroit Tigers
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$10.07
Volume
$11,331.75
Positions
UnderUnderUnder
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$49.04
Volume
$9,808.98
Positions
Detroit Tigers
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$26.77
Volume
$5,553.27
Positions
UnderKansas City Royals
8E8
0x8efa…894c
Event PnL
-$8.86
Volume
$2,202.20
Positions
Detroit TigersOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,300%),以及 O/U 7.5(5,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $92.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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