LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

$151.4K Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
概率趋势
FURIA Esports 53.5%
Vivo Keyd Stars 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 7,450% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,450% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 5,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $151.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,450%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 7,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,450¢。
  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,150%):以 5,150% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Penta Kill (5,150%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,150%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,100%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Game 1 Winner4750.0%$1.3K4750¢-4650¢
15Game 2 Winner4750.0%$1.3K4750¢-4650¢
16Match Winner4750.0%$146.5K4750¢-4650¢
17O/U 2.5 Games4650.0%$7734650¢-4550¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3800.0%$9783800¢-3700¢
21Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)2950.0%$5772950¢-2850¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
24Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
26Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)2500.0%$4272500¢-2400¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1650.0%1650¢-1550¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1600.0%1600¢-1500¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 12:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against FURIA Esports.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:01 AM
    QOqomroca
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651161 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.43

  • 08:01 AM
    OKoknah
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.64

  • 08:00 AM
    QOqomroca
    $60.78

    Bought 135.07511 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 20.2 FURIA Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 19.80392 FURIA Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 15.78125 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.64

  • 08:00 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.47

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $68.47

    Bought 136.93 FURIA Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $68.58

    Bought 137.16 FURIA Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $346.59

    Bought 541.54 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.64

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 18.703702 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 20.612243 FURIA Esports for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.49

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

GL1
Gloobera
Event PnL
-$64.54
Volume
$14,224.80
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars
RO2
ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD
Event PnL
+$49.45
Volume
$9,891.01
Positions
FURIA Esports
GO3
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$45.30
Volume
$9,059.49
Positions
FURIA Esports
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$8.86
Volume
$8,908.13
Positions
Vivo Keyd StarsOverVivo Keyd Stars+2
NA5
NAOSOUOZHAO
Event PnL
+$887.96
Volume
$5,578.12
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars
PO6
PourpelNourpel
Event PnL
-$25.51
Volume
$5,102.04
Positions
FURIA Esports
MA7
maxoveral00
Event PnL
+$8.80
Volume
$5,073.18
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$4.81
Volume
$4,176.57
Positions
FURIA EsportsUnderFURIA Esports+3

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,450%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(5,150%)。该市场总成交量已达 $151.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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