LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

$12K Vol
2026年8月1日
Active
概率趋势
Team Vitality 75.5%
Team Heretics 24.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 7,550% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $12K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (7,550%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,550¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $7.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 7,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,000¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,000%):以 7,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Game 1 Winner (6,950%)、Game 2 Winner (6,650%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,550%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner7550.0%$7.2K7550¢-7450¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7000.0%7000¢-6900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon7000.0%7000¢-6900¢
4Game 1 Winner6950.0%$2.3K6950¢-6850¢
5Game 2 Winner6650.0%$1.1K6650¢-6550¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6550.0%6550¢-6450¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
9First Blood in Game 2?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
10First Blood in Game 1?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$835000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$835000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$835000¢-4900¢
18Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)4850.0%$2.1K4850¢-4750¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4650.0%$754650¢-4550¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4450.0%$484450¢-4350¢
21O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$484150¢-4050¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
26Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1800.0%1800¢-1700¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1800.0%1800¢-1700¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1550.0%1550¢-1450¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1550.0%1550¢-1450¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Team Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:10 AM
    BEBeatYou6
    $8.00

    Bought 29.629628 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 07:49 AM
    DRdreamland0808
    $29.60

    Bought 40 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:38 AM
    WXwxxiiii
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:09 AM
    SRsreca
    $3.70

    Bought 5 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 07:07 AM
    SMsmileudance
    $1.00

    Bought 2.127658 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 06:50 AM
    KOKosmener
    $10.00

    Bought 23.255812 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.43

  • 06:50 AM
    KOKosmener
    $10.00

    Bought 37.037036 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 06:37 AM
    0X0x200e9EB918A20E6Baf5A60aF14c65C9E4384e21d-1769617360162
    $25.08

    Bought 42.508473 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 06:16 AM
    GLGlimz
    $100.00

    Bought 135.135134 Team Vitality for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.74

  • 06:16 AM
    TITimPenis
    $13.82

    Bought 51.185184 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 06:01 AM
    $2.00

    Bought 7.407406 Team Heretics for LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season at 0.27

  • 05:50 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.03

    Bought 7.61 Team Heretics for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

JU1
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$0.89
Volume
$2,130.00
Positions
Team HereticsTeam Heretics
LA2
lakcurh443
Event PnL
-$1.04
Volume
$1,561.23
Positions
Team HereticsTeam HereticsTeam Heretics
FU3
Fusko
Event PnL
+$4.20
Volume
$1,360.00
Positions
Team VitalityTeam Vitality
BO4
boobytracey
Event PnL
+$4.65
Volume
$929.55
Positions
Team Vitality
ME5
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
+$3.16
Volume
$631.20
Positions
Team Vitality
646
0x6407…6364
Event PnL
+$1.09
Volume
$604.09
Positions
Team HereticsTeam HereticsOver+1
DE7
DepreLeolienne
Event PnL
+$2.91
Volume
$581.25
Positions
Team Vitality
DI8
dinoxh
Event PnL
-$2.73
Volume
$546.17
Positions
Team VitalityTeam Vitality

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 7,550% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $12K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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